The dollar will strengthen for two reasons. 1. As Covid wanes countries will want higher dollar reserves and 2. The Fed will raise rates. - you time that as best as you can. Employment looks strong, unemployment claims sinking to lowest levels since 1969. Depending on gdp - I’d say Q2 rates actually start going up.
Why is deflation coming - 1. What goes up will come down. See oil. But as I have preached technology, technology, technology is deflationary. Artificial intelligence, automation and now even robotics makes everything cheaper. We are in a technology age.
I used to swing trade google. I have a small account right now with a few things I am holding but for the most part I’m a 60/40 guy. If you know what that is then you know.