There will be no Fed rate cut

Will the Fed cut rates next week?

  • Yes they will cut

    Votes: 148 59.7%

  • No they won't cut

    Votes: 100 40.3%
  • Total voters
    248
Quote from marketsurfer:

bobby then, the statement that triggered my challenge:

bobby now:

Always a fair bet by surfer. LMAO.

Surfer, when there's 95% probability of it happening, why would anyone be dumb enough to bet you 50/50?
More...


wimping out bobby and changing your mind? scared to bet just a straight $50.00 based on your first post?? what happened?? LOL !

surf:D [/QUOTE]

What do you mean "what happened?" Nothing happened. I strongly agree with both statements. Of course, I also understand the current odds of the expected outcome.

What exactly do you think you're proving?

The odds are 20 to 1. But for you surfer, i'll go $20 at 4 to 1. Why wouldn't you make this bet?
 
Quote from Bob Rowshan:

wimping out bobby and changing your mind? scared to bet just a straight $50.00 based on your first post?? what happened?? LOL !

surf:D
More...

What do you mean "what happened?" Nothing happened. I strongly agree with both statements. Of course, I also understand the current odds of the expected outcome.
[/B][/QUOTE]

your more obtuse than i thought. you strongly believe both statements

"its not going to happen"

"there's a 95% chance of it happening"

--- don't twist the facts, i offered the bet, not you--take or leave it.

very congruent!

hahahaha

surf
 
Quote from Bob Roweshan:

What do you mean "what happened?" Nothing happened. I strongly agree with both statements. Of course, I also understand the current odds of the expected outcome.
More...
Quote from Marketsurfer:

your more obtuse than i thought. you strongly believe both statements

"its not going to happen"

"there's a 95% chance of it happening"

--- don't twist the facts, i offered the bet, not you--take or leave it.

very congruent!

hahahaha

surf
More...
Is this surfer person insane? Do you think you "got me" surfer?? You are pathetic! Yes, I strongly believe the Fed rate cut won't happen. Yes, I also understand the odds are 95%. Thus (here's where I know i'll lose you...) I will be making a big, big bet that it won't happen, and that the 95% will be disappointed. Please tell me where i've lost you with this simple logic I use.

Maybe you don't actually trade, so you really don't understand.
 
Quote from Bob Rowshan:

Is this surfer person insane? Do you think you "got me" surfer?? You are pathetic! Yes, I strongly believe the Fed rate cut won't happen. Yes, I also understand the odds are 95%. Thus (here's where I know i'll lose you...) I will be making a big, big bet that it won't happen, and that the 95% will be disappointed. Please tell me where i've lost you with this simple logic I use.

Maybe you don't actually trade, so you really don't understand.
More...


hahahaha. but you won't bet me a measly $50.00 here in a public forum??? yeah, that makes sense. it's a straight binary bet, what is that you don't understand?? i initiated it, not you, stop twisting things bobby and step up.

surf
 
Quote from Bob Rowshan:

The odds are 20 to 1. But for you surfer, i'll go $20 at 4 to 1. Why wouldn't you make this bet?
More...

I'll take it. You have $20 on no Fed cut at the Sep07 meeting. I pay $80 if no cut is seen. Would you be willing to up the action at those odds?
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

hahahaha. but you won't bet me a measly $50.00 here in a public forum??? yeah, that makes sense. it's a straight binary bet, what is that you don't understand?? i initiated it, not you, stop twisting things bobby and step up.

surf
More...

A straight-up bet on this meeting is ridiculous.
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

ok, im not much of a gambler. let's see if he takes you up on your challenge.

surf
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Fairval on the bet is 20:1. 4:1 is a gift.
 
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