There will be no Fed rate cut

Will the Fed cut rates next week?

  • Yes they will cut

    Votes: 148 59.7%
  • No they won't cut

    Votes: 100 40.3%

  • Total voters
    248
Quote from EMRGLOBAL:


However, if you truly do your homework, you will see that 1000 basis points will not stop the storm that is coming to shore.

Thank you for seeing through all the shit. You're a 20%er.
 
The short term liquidities crunch has pushed corpo bond yield up; not just a little more like 100+bp; on what ground that can not push government bond yield?

who wants support USD backed assets if they think the yield are going down? plus the dangerous of devalue of USD.

All these didn't make much sense in bond market during past couple weeks.
 
Quote from optioncoach:

My point is I see a lot of indecision in the Fed as to whether the need to cut rates right now. Many comments are coming from non-voting members but their comments are still relevant.
Some relevant comments:

"San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen, an influential policy maker, agreed that there were risks of a significant economic slowdown.

"Yellen said she was hopeful that the turbulence in the financial markets could be contained to Wall Street and not hurt Main Street. "


Naive of Yellen don't you think, considering the extent to which Main Street is committed to Wall Street? FEDheads care about the market - not about speculators, maybe, but they do care about the the enormous amounts of pension money invested there. This doesn't mean that they're certain to cut, but they will factor the Main Street/Wall Street connection into their decision.

If the USD doesn't deteriorate significantly, I think they'll couple a .25 cut to a lot of rhetoric about being prepared to do whatever proves necessary, etc.

Hans
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

ok, bobby.

$50.00 bet that there will be a rate cut in september. you on??

surf

Always a fair bet by surfer. LMAO.

Surfer, when there's 95% probability of it happening, why would anyone be dumb enough to bet you 50/50? I can just goto tradesports and get 20 to 1.

But since you offered, make it 4 to 1 and i'll bet you $20. This offer applies only to surfer. And if you accept, i'm betting "you", not "we".
 
Dont be silly, a fed cut is almost a done deal now. Bernanke will not want to take the blame if the economy goes into a recession. Im looking for a 25 basis pts cut, treasuries will most probably sell off on fed day because they are pricing in a possible 50 now.
 
bobby then, the statement that triggered my challenge:

Quote from Bob Rowshan:[/i

I'm surprised by the naivete of this board in believing the Fed will cut rates next week. Maybe this board is a good contrary indicator because there will be no fed rate cut in September!



bobby now:

Always a fair bet by surfer. LMAO.

Surfer, when there's 95% probability of it happening, why would anyone be dumb enough to bet you 50/50?
[/QUOTE]



wimping out bobby and changing your mind? scared to bet just a straight $50.00 based on your first post?? what happened?? LOL !

surf:D
 
Quote from marketsurfer:

there is a HUGE triple top in the EUR. USD now.

whatever that means it means.

surf

Bah....triple tops never hold....right surf?
 
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