The Scientific Models that Drive US Public Policy on COVID are Wildly Wrong

Check back, I was saying 0.3% ages back, lowered since although NYC will be pretty close, UK sub 0.1% where Flu is 0.05%.

Sweden where basing no lockdown needed on a 0.35% aswell and Italy I think recalced to 0.35% aswell.

So now we've worked out it's 1/10th as bad as CDC where saving and 1/16th as bad as WHO saying, firstly can we abolish the WHO and secondly can we all ignore everything and just go back to normal.

WHO getting on the positive, virus is dying fast, little fear of a 2nd wave also today.
Yes, you told that!
 
I did try to explain the math's, but nobody listening, just FEAR from the over hyped media.

And everyone seems to be number blind these days.

Israel not Sweden on the 0.35%
Turvy, you got it fast, I needed more time to get it. Somebody will get it, somebody will never get it. That is life, my friend ;).
 
Well, of course mathematical models are inaccurate (or not static), initially. That's why they continue to change with the introduction of new information in an effort to increase their accuracy. If they were right, then they would never change with the introduction of new information.

Slight tangent: It's too bad that liberal and conservative operatives have politicized this issue.

Regardless of scientific models, the response to the pandemic has been one big clusterfuck, and has really shone a light on, and illuminated, the ineptitude of many charged with managing the response.
 
Well, of course mathematical models are inaccurate (or not static), initially. That's why they continue to change with the introduction of new information in an effort to increase their accuracy. If they were right, then they would never change with the introduction of new information.

Slight tangent: It's too bad that liberal and conservative operatives have politicized this issue.

Regardless of scientific models, the response to the pandemic has been one big clusterfuck, and has really shone a light on, and illuminated, the ineptitude of many charged with managing the response.

The hospital my girlfriend works at...

A nearby university predicted that hospital and others would not get PPE to handle to overflow until around August 2020.

She called me last week with complete joy...they got their new supplies. Now some of the nurses / doctors are less stressed...not threatening to quit. Yet, I'm still not able to visit her at my condo (her temporary living location) while I wait it out here at my house. :(

A few more weeks like that and she would have quit. Yet, still 7 more months remaining in the year. :(

wrbtrader
 
Well, of course mathematical models are inaccurate (or not static), initially. That's why they continue to change with the introduction of new information in an effort to increase their accuracy. If they were right, then they would never change with the introduction of new information.

Slight tangent: It's too bad that liberal and conservative operatives have politicized this issue.

Regardless of scientific models, the response to the pandemic has been one big clusterfuck, and has really shone a light on, and illuminated, the ineptitude of many charged with managing the response.

Can we all just admit Sweden got it right and all the PC's should stop bashing them and trying to convert them to lockdowns.

Lockdowns too far.

Protection for the at risk, old, sick or in care homes completely screwed up and too late, focused less on the not at risk people and more on the at risk would of really helped reduce the deaths.
 
Well, of course mathematical models are inaccurate (or not static), initially. That's why they continue to change with the introduction of new information in an effort to increase their accuracy. If they were right, then they would never change with the introduction of new information.

Slight tangent: It's too bad that liberal and conservative operatives have politicized this issue.

Regardless of scientific models, the response to the pandemic has been one big clusterfuck, and has really shone a light on, and illuminated, the ineptitude of many charged with managing the response.
1) politicians should stay away. Never will be happened.
2) covid19 expert should provide real expertise. Never happened.
3) #2 should provide realistic instructions to the public and don’t flip flop.
 
Can we all just admit Sweden got it right and all the PC's should stop bashing them and trying to convert them to lockdowns.

Lockdowns too far.

Protection for the at risk, old, sick or in care homes completely screwed up and too late, focused less on the not at risk people and more on the at risk would of really helped reduce the deaths.

Herd immunity via exposure or swift lockdown isn't the issue. Sweden got it right with the former, and Taiwan got it right with the latter.

The issue is quickly picking a route and taking affirmative action, and not bickering and arguing about what to do.
 
1) politicians should stay away. Never will be happened.
2) covid19 expert should provide real expertise. Never happened.
3) #2 should provide realistic instructions to the public and don’t flip flop.

4. Media should of been stopped from turning into a FearDemic.
5. People in charge, shouldn't of caved in to the scared and ill informed public.
 
The hospital my girlfriend works at...

A nearby university predicted that hospital and others would not get PPE to handle to overflow until around August 2020.

She called me last week with complete joy...they got their new supplies. Now some of the nurses / doctors are less stressed...not threatening to quit. Yet, I'm still not able to visit her at my condo (her temporary living location) while I wait it out here at my house. :(

A few more weeks like that and she would have quit. Yet, still 7 more months remaining in the year. :(

wrbtrader

That's great to hear that front line workers are getting sorely needed PPE.
 
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