The Scientific Models that Drive US Public Policy on COVID are Wildly Wrong

[wrbtrader]

Covid-19 is just like the flu...it is the Flu.

Fact Check:

Case fatality rate of the Flu in the U.S. is somewhere near 0.1%
In contrast, case fatality rate of the Covid-19 in the U.S. is somewhere near 6%

There's a vaccine for the Flu.
Currently, no vaccine for Covid-19

There's approved treatments for the Flu.
Currently, no approved treatments for Covid-19

Flu infects around 8% of the U.S. population every year.
In contrast, U.S. is on pace to have 50 - 80% of its population infected with Covid-19.

Covid-19 kills up to about 20x more people per week than the Flu. Thus, Covid-19 has a higher R0 (2.2) than the Flu (1.28). R0 equals "reproductive number".

Covid-19 is the first coronavirus to be declared a Pandemic by the WHO.

There's a difference between a Seasonal Flu versus a Pandemic Flu.

Covid-19 has a higher rate of asymptomatic carriers than the Flu...allowing easy transmission of Covid-19

Incubation period for the Flu is 1 - 4 days.
In contrast, incubation period for Covid-19 is 2 - 14 days...allowing it to have longer transfer duration of the infection to other individuals.

Covid-19 can cause loss of smell and taste.

Currently, there's no evidence that having had the Flu in the recent past or recently vaccinated for the Flu...it will protect you from Covid-19.

Summary, Covid-19 has a higher mortality rate, higher severity, lack of immunity...it is not like the Flu. The misinformed that believe Covid-19 is like the Flu and in government leadership rolls (e.g. President Trump)...

Its the reason for their delay reaction to the health crisis and it resulted in the economy being shut down, costing trillions of dollars, skyrocketing unemployment, lost jobs, depression, unrest and many other bad things.

Those that believe Covid-19 is like the Flu...you're helping to create the current economic crisis.

So yeah, U.S. public policy was very wrong in the beginning via attempting to mislead its citizens that Covid-19 was like the Flu.

wrbtrader

 

[Turveyd]

UK mini update no, C19 deaths in London last 48hours, london got hit first 3 - 4 weeks ahead of the UK and we eased slightly the lockdown allowing people back to work 20days ago.

27th May only 16 new confirmed cases in London aswell my last update.

Not over as quick as I was hoping, I'll admit that, I blame lockdown for slowing it down, likely doubled the time to get to the same point.

No sign of 2nd Waves, France and South Korea just a blip thus far, or weekend slack data.

New theory going around 40-60% of us are Immune because we've had CoronaVirus colds, which have given us atleast a short term immunity. why the Antibody tests seem so low maybe ??

Waiting on AntiBody test, might find out tomorrow if I've definately had it, although a many False negatives so won't prove I haven't if negative.

This might be around for ever ever, when we lose our immunity we'll get it back, but people that survived 1st time around unlikely to die 2nd time and much lower numbers, so nothing to stress over.