The S&P has topped

The S&P has topped


  • Total voters
    59
Not really. There are plenty of traders who are opportunists trading order flow and price action. There's a population of manual traders, swing traders and algos who will identify liquidity takers and race them. That's actually the central tenet of among others tape reading, Momentum and Market Profile trading systems.

Let me give you an example - an ES day trader monitoring his order book price ladder sees two successive offers get taken out very quickly. The third offer starts to trade out and in the blink of an eye our opportunist buys a 10 lot. Our opportunist quickly offers a 5lot 2 tics above his entry price and another 5lot 3 tics above. That type of trading is quite common and I don't think that those types of traders are necessarily looking to pick a top or bottom per se.

It's a matter of perspective. One frame of mind is standing in the middle of the railroad tracks and telling the train to stop because it's gone far enough, and the other frame of mind is to hitch a ride on the train and hopefully get off as the train is slowing down. Both approaches are risky. It all depends upon how you choose to take on risk.
I didn't mean "every" trader in the literal sense. Yeah there are different styles.

Heck, some do pairs trade and are essentially market neutral doing convergence divergence trades. I mean, there are so many strats out there.

But I guess for most people, if you're gonna buy a stock, you're probably thinking it is bottom or close to bottom. So you're picking a bottom even if you don't outright say it, it is implied. Or when you sell a stock, you may be thinking it has topped. That's kinda what I mean.
 
Make no mistake-- I am not bearish on the market and there has been no short signal---Thus I only took profits on an overdone market and and will be looking to get back in long.
 
I say the S&P has topped at 2400 or is within 25 points of doing so. I will consider myself wrong if we print 2426 before a pullback to 2331

the fact that you are calling this on a retail trading forum means we are a long long way off any short term top.
 
Make no mistake-- I am not bearish on the market and there has been no short signal---Thus I only took profits on an overdone market and and will be looking to get back in long.

We will close tomorrow at 2397 -- 10 pts up from today's close, after an intraday high of 2405. Heavy volume in the morning, fluttery after Euro-close, decreasing after 13:30hrs.

AND the sun will rise. All day long. Until about noon-ish. And then it will set. But it will take hours.
 
the fact that you are calling this on a retail trading forum means we are a long long way off any short term top.

Actually the fact that the majority of the crowd says I am wrong by voting puts us closer to a top than you think.
 
We will close tomorrow at 2397 -- 10 pts up from today's close, after an intraday high of 2405. Heavy volume in the morning, fluttery after Euro-close, decreasing after 13:30hrs.

AND the sun will rise. All day long. Until about noon-ish. And then it will set. But it will take hours.

Interesting. I have 2363-2389 as outer bands for next trading session.
 
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