The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

gwb-trading said:
All the recent in-depth local polls within the last week show Trump over Hillary by a significant margin. This is a huge change from the previous week. I will admit this surprises me, but it should not based on the yard signs in the Raleigh/Durham area (which typically leans Democratic).

WRAL poll: Trump charges ahead in NC
http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/

Raleigh, N.C. — With a week to go until Election Day, Republican Donald Trump has seized control of a tight presidential race in North Carolina, according to an exclusive WRAL News poll released Tuesday. 25

SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.

In a WRAL News poll released three weeks ago, Clinton led Trump 46 to 44 percent.

The latest poll was conducted after the FBI notified members of Congress that it was reopening an investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server while secretary of state. Meanwhile, an Elon University Poll released Tuesday that was conducted before the FBI announcement found Clinton and Trump in a dead heat in North Carolina.

Almost a third of respondents in the WRAL News poll ranked trustworthiness as the most important consideration in voting for president. Positions on issues were rated most important by 40 percent, while experience and character were far behind at 17 and 8 percent, respectively

Of those ranking trustworthiness most important, 83 percent favor Trump. He also wins among those most concerned about issues, 52 to 43 percent. Clinton was favored by 93 percent of those most concerned with experience, and she doubled up Trump among voters concerned about character, 58 to 26 percent.

Still, many people aren't enthusiastic about either candidate.

Among those voting for either Clinton or Trump, two in five said their ballot was or would be cast simply to oppose the other candidate rather than in support of their candidate, according to the poll. Thirty-eight percent of Trump voters and 32 percent of Clinton backers said they were voting "with reservations" about their candidate.

Breaking down the results, Trump has flipped the gender gap in recent weeks, cutting Clinton's 12-point lead among women down to 7 points while widening his dominance among male voters from 9 points to 23 points. He also has erased her lead among voters 50 and older, moving from a 5-point deficit to an 11-point advantage, while maintaining his slight lead among voters ages 18 to 49.

Clinton's sizable lead in North Carolina's metro areas also has eroded since early October. Her 64 to 27 percent lead among urban voters three weeks ago is down to 53 to 43 percent, and her 9-point lead in the suburbs is now a 2-point deficit. Meanwhile, Trump has extended his lead among rural voters from 18 to 26 points.

The economy continues to be the most important national issue among voters, according to the poll, and Clinton continues to hold the lead over Trump among people ranking it their top concern. But Trump has widened his lead among voters most concerned with national security – the No. 2 overall issue – moving from a 20-point to a 43-point advantage. He also cut into Clinton's lead among voters most concerned with health care – the No. 3 overall issue – narrowing a 39-point deficit in early October to 13 points.
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Don't know who will win, but Libs are absolutely going nuts right now.
 
Buy1Sell2 said:
but not to another Lib
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Carville's shtick is being over dramatic.While Carville is going nuts...


http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box...on-plans-fireworks-display-for-election-night

October 31, 2016, 08:06 pm
Clinton camp books fireworks display for election night


By Lisa Hagen


clintonhillarytwo09192015getty_0.jpg

Getty Images
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s campaign has planned a fireworks display to go off over the Hudson River on election night.

Sources told the New York Post that the display will last for two minutes and could start around 9:30 p.m., only half an hour after polls close in the Empire State. That could be a sign that campaign is planning for an early victory over GOP nominee Donald Trump.

Law enforcement officials and the New York Fire Department (FDNY) have been told about the plans, and in a memo sent on Friday and obtained by the Post, the FDNY requested for stand-by protection.

The details of the Democratic nominee's election night event come just a few days after the FBI announced that it is reviewing new emails uncovered from former Rep. Anthony Weiner’s (D-N.Y.) laptop that may be “pertinent” to the investigation of the private email server Clinton used while secretary of State.

The fallout has sparked a political firestorm and could upend the election in the final week of the race. Trump has been closing the gap nationally and in a number of battleground states. However, the FBI is unlikely to announce more details of the case before Nov. 8, given that it has 650,000 emails to sort through.

Some law enforcement officials said they were surprised to hear about her plans, especially in the wake of the FBI investigation.

“It’s a little presumptuous of her to plan on winning. I guess she put in for this before Friday,” a NYPD detective told the Post.

Clinton’s campaign announced last week that the former secretary of State will spend election night in Manhattan with a gathering at the Jacob K. Javits Center.
The venue notably has a glass ceiling, which goes with Clinton’s theme that becoming the U.S.'s first female president would shatter the "highest and hardest glass ceiling."

GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump will also be spending election night in New York.
 
Tony Stark said:
Carville's shtick is being over dramatic.While Carville is going nuts...


http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box...on-plans-fireworks-display-for-election-night

October 31, 2016, 08:06 pm
Clinton camp books fireworks display for election night


By Lisa Hagen


clintonhillarytwo09192015getty_0.jpg

Getty Images
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton’s campaign has planned a fireworks display to go off over the Hudson River on election night.

Sources told the New York Post that the display will last for two minutes and could start around 9:30 p.m., only half an hour after polls close in the Empire State. That could be a sign that campaign is planning for an early victory over GOP nominee Donald Trump.

Law enforcement officials and the New York Fire Department (FDNY) have been told about the plans, and in a memo sent on Friday and obtained by the Post, the FDNY requested for stand-by protection.

The details of the Democratic nominee's election night event come just a few days after the FBI announced that it is reviewing new emails uncovered from former Rep. Anthony Weiner’s (D-N.Y.) laptop that may be “pertinent” to the investigation of the private email server Clinton used while secretary of State.

The fallout has sparked a political firestorm and could upend the election in the final week of the race. Trump has been closing the gap nationally and in a number of battleground states. However, the FBI is unlikely to announce more details of the case before Nov. 8, given that it has 650,000 emails to sort through.

Some law enforcement officials said they were surprised to hear about her plans, especially in the wake of the FBI investigation.

“It’s a little presumptuous of her to plan on winning. I guess she put in for this before Friday,” a NYPD detective told the Post.

Clinton’s campaign announced last week that the former secretary of State will spend election night in Manhattan with a gathering at the Jacob K. Javits Center.
The venue notably has a glass ceiling, which goes with Clinton’s theme that becoming the U.S.'s first female president would shatter the "highest and hardest glass ceiling."

GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump will also be spending election night in New York.
More...
Classic Lib mis-direct and obfuscation. Every candidate plans election night triumph party.
 
The fact is that no matter who wins, Donald Trump has succeeded in scaring the Libs and shaking them to their core. It's fantastic.
 
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