The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

New Reuters poll.Hillary + 5


https://www.fxstreet.com/news/reute...percentage-point-lead-over-trump-201611010312

NEWS | 03:12 GMT
Reuters/Ipsos poll: Clinton holds a 5 percentage point lead over Trump
By Dhwani Mehta


According to the latest Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Monday, votes in favor of Hillary Clinton outpaced that for her rival Donald Trump by a five percentage point, i.e., down only slightly since the FBI said last week it was reviewing new emails in its investigation of the former secretary of state.

Key findings of the survey:

“Some 44 percent of likely voters said they would support Clinton, while 39 percent said they would support Trump, according to the Oct. 26-30 survey.”

“Clinton had held a 6 point advantage over Trump in the five-day tracking poll last Thursday.”

“Clinton leads Trump in both high and low turnout scenarios”

“Her advantage holds at 5 points if 55 percent of eligible voters participate, and it rises to 6 points if 70 percent of Americans cast a ballot.”
 
If you look at todays polls at real clear politics...and create an average.
Trump is winning.
(your nbc poll is run by the clinton camp and is slanted as can be. its the king crap poll and reuters and reuters is such a clown car driver its not even at rcp recently that I can find)


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 45, Trump 46, Johnson 3, Stein 2 Trump +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton ABC/Wash Post Tracking Clinton 48, Trump 47 Clinton +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 43, Trump 47 Trump +4
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 45, Trump 44, Johnson 4, Stein 2 Clinton +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 45, Trump 44 Clinton +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Rasmussen Reports Clinton 44, Trump 44, Johnson 5, Stein 2 Tie
 
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Polls were tightening anyway prior to revelation from Comey. I really never believed that Trump was ever behind 12 points etc.
 
Buy1Sell2 said:
Don't know who will win, but these polls can't be good news for libs
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It's great news for us.Hillary is polling higher,ahead in more polls and higher in the betting markets than Obama was at this point in 2012.Obama's poll numbers dropped the last 2 weeks as well.Thats good for us and part of the plan as it makes dems get out to vote.
 
jem said:
If you look at todays polls at real clear politics...and create an average.
Trump is winning.
More...


Thats poll spin like I have never seen before jem.Lets just look at one day of polls :confused:. Of the 6 polls you posted Hillary is ahead in 3 and Trump ahead in 2 though.
 
Tony Stark said:
It's great news for us.Hillary is polling higher,ahead in more polls and higher in the betting markets than Obama was at this point in 2012.Obama's poll numbers dropped the last 2 weeks as well.Thats good for us and part of the plan as it makes dems get out to vote.
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On cue
 
WeToddDid2 said:
Poll: Donald Trump +7 over Hillary Clinton in North Carolina, Now at 51 Percent
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All the recent in-depth local polls within the last week show Trump over Hillary by a significant margin. This is a huge change from the previous week. I will admit this surprises me, but it should not based on the yard signs in the Raleigh/Durham area (which typically leans Democratic).

WRAL poll: Trump charges ahead in NC
http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/

Raleigh, N.C. — With a week to go until Election Day, Republican Donald Trump has seized control of a tight presidential race in North Carolina, according to an exclusive WRAL News poll released Tuesday. 25

SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.

In a WRAL News poll released three weeks ago, Clinton led Trump 46 to 44 percent.

The latest poll was conducted after the FBI notified members of Congress that it was reopening an investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server while secretary of state. Meanwhile, an Elon University Poll released Tuesday that was conducted before the FBI announcement found Clinton and Trump in a dead heat in North Carolina.

Almost a third of respondents in the WRAL News poll ranked trustworthiness as the most important consideration in voting for president. Positions on issues were rated most important by 40 percent, while experience and character were far behind at 17 and 8 percent, respectively

Of those ranking trustworthiness most important, 83 percent favor Trump. He also wins among those most concerned about issues, 52 to 43 percent. Clinton was favored by 93 percent of those most concerned with experience, and she doubled up Trump among voters concerned about character, 58 to 26 percent.

Still, many people aren't enthusiastic about either candidate.

Among those voting for either Clinton or Trump, two in five said their ballot was or would be cast simply to oppose the other candidate rather than in support of their candidate, according to the poll. Thirty-eight percent of Trump voters and 32 percent of Clinton backers said they were voting "with reservations" about their candidate.

Breaking down the results, Trump has flipped the gender gap in recent weeks, cutting Clinton's 12-point lead among women down to 7 points while widening his dominance among male voters from 9 points to 23 points. He also has erased her lead among voters 50 and older, moving from a 5-point deficit to an 11-point advantage, while maintaining his slight lead among voters ages 18 to 49.

Clinton's sizable lead in North Carolina's metro areas also has eroded since early October. Her 64 to 27 percent lead among urban voters three weeks ago is down to 53 to 43 percent, and her 9-point lead in the suburbs is now a 2-point deficit. Meanwhile, Trump has extended his lead among rural voters from 18 to 26 points.

The economy continues to be the most important national issue among voters, according to the poll, and Clinton continues to hold the lead over Trump among people ranking it their top concern. But Trump has widened his lead among voters most concerned with national security – the No. 2 overall issue – moving from a 20-point to a 43-point advantage. He also cut into Clinton's lead among voters most concerned with health care – the No. 3 overall issue – narrowing a 39-point deficit in early October to 13 points.
 
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