The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

[fhl]

Trump has never been over 70 % in the betting markets or Silvers algo.He has never had the type of runs that Hillary has.

Uh, tony, going from 20 to 40 is exactly the same type of run as going from 50 to 70.

 

[fhl]

Hey tony. Do you get an extra 50 cents when you go back and edit a post. Does that count double?

 

[Tony Stark]

Uh, tony, going from 20 to 40 is exactly the same type of run as going from 50 to 70.

Not really.With around 40 % of the country being republicans starting off and easily staying around 40 % should be the norm.Getting to 51% is big,getting to 70 % is huge.

BTW Trump has never gotten to 40 % in the Maxim Lott and John Stossel betting page.The highest he has been is a little over 34.

 

[fhl]

Let's see what the polls say in the last week. The polls that really count. The polls that they're really rated on. Not the push polls they're putting out now. The polls that they put together for their 'clients'.

With around 40 % of the country being republicans starting off and easily staying around 40 % should be the norm.

/QUOTE]

I wonder why the pollsters use low thirties for republicans in their polls when 40% are republicans.

 

[Tony Stark]

Let's see what the polls say in the last week. The polls that really count. The polls that they're really rated on. Not the push polls they're putting out now. The polls that they put together for their 'clients'.

The polls around this time were very accurate in 2012 and 2008.

 

[fhl]

The only polls that count are the last polls.

My prediction. The polls will be within the margin of error and they will favor Clinton.
It's called killing two birds with one stone. They get to claim their polls were accurate because they were within the margin of error and they also get to push Cankles for their clients. All at the same time.

Whatyasay, tony?
Make a prediction. At least it will make you 50 cents.

 

[fhl]

The polls around this time were very accurate in 2012 and 2008.

Sample of two.
Do you not even realize that the pollsters themselves didn't buy these polls? Do you not understand that they had good reasons for not buying them? Like a sample that is much larger than two?

They've learned over time (large sample of polls) that these polls are no good and that's the reason they completely change their methodology for the last polls. You don't get that?

 

[fhl]

Looks like i've helped tony make about three or four dollars this morning. Good day for him.

 

[Tony Stark]

Sample of two.
Do you not even realize that the pollsters themselves didn't buy these polls? Do you not understand that they had good reasons for not buying them? Like a sample that is much larger than two?

They've learned over time (large sample of polls) that these polls are no good and that's the reason they completely change their methodology for the last polls. You don't get that?

If you think those polls were no good I suggest you look again.They certainly didn't show McCain or Romney ahead.

 

[fhl]

If you think those polls were no good I suggest you look again.They certainly didn't show McCain or Romney ahead.

Refer back to my previous post. But at least you're ahead by 50 cents.

The global warming scammers had their crusher crews and Cankles has hers. Tony is living proof.