The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Trump now leads in cnn poll. 10 point swing.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presi...poll-shows-trump-now-leading-hillary-clinton/
Tony Stark said:
Well the majority of the polls had Obama winning,especially PPP.I'm confused about the jem algo and its purpose. The jem algo criticizes PPP, but PPP results are super accurate,and not just before the election but months prior.

Currently who does the jem algo have ahead and by how many points?
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Trump is now leading with 45 percent of the vote while Clinton is now at 43 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has seven percent while Green Party candidate Jill Stein has two percent.

Clinton’s eight point lead in August has effectively vanished, while Trump has staged a remarkable eight point turnaround. In August, Trump was polling at 37 percent.

Part of Trump’s success lies in a 20 point lead among independents. Forty-nine percent of independents now support Trump while only 29 percent support Clinton.

Clinton’s numbers have dropped amid revelations about her testimony to the FBI about her deleted emails, while she spends more time on the trail attacking Trump.

Trump, it appears, has turned around his campaign by focusing more on policy and community outreach.

He is also now leading Clinton by 15 points on the economy, six points on terrorism. Hillary Clinton, however, is leading Trump by two points on immigration and 16 points on foreign policy.
 
Trump now ahead in 3 national polls despite the rigged methodology changes that weigh more democrats in polls then republicans.

CNN. Trump +2
Reuters ipsos trump +2
La times. Trump +1
 
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jem said:
Nate Silver and the New York Times reporter told you otherwise.
Hillary's $760,000 a month payment and her email demanding they make her look better told you otherwise.
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Nate nor The NYT's told me PPP wasn't accurate.They can't tell me that because it's easily verifiable that PPP polls are very accurate.
 
jem said:
Trump now leads in cnn poll. 10 point swing.

http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presi...poll-shows-trump-now-leading-hillary-clinton/



Trump is now leading with 45 percent of the vote while Clinton is now at 43 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson has seven percent while Green Party candidate Jill Stein has two percent.

Clinton’s eight point lead in August has effectively vanished, while Trump has staged a remarkable eight point turnaround. In August, Trump was polling at 37 percent.

Part of Trump’s success lies in a 20 point lead among independents. Forty-nine percent of independents now support Trump while only 29 percent support Clinton.

Clinton’s numbers have dropped amid revelations about her testimony to the FBI about her deleted emails, while she spends more time on the trail attacking Trump.

Trump, it appears, has turned around his campaign by focusing more on policy and community outreach.

He is also now leading Clinton by 15 points on the economy, six points on terrorism. Hillary Clinton, however, is leading Trump by two points on immigration and 16 points on foreign policy.
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Hilary + 6

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/201...rump-campaign-enters-final-weeks-poll-n642931

Politics
Sep 6 2016, 8:08 am ET
Clinton Holds Steady Against Trump as Campaign Enters Final Weeks: Poll

by Hannah Hartig, John Lapinski and Stephanie Psyllos


Hillary Clinton's national lead over Donald Trump remains steady at 6 points, according to the latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.

Clinton currently enjoys 48 percent support while Trump maintains 42 percent — the same margin as last week. The latest NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll was conducted online from August 29 through September 4 among registered voters.





Hillary ahead in 7 of the last 9 RCP polls,Trump ahead in 1 of the last 9.


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Hillary ahead in betting markets and Nate Silver forecasts as well.
 
jem said:
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That's awesome. We're basically tied up. Remember 4 weeks ago? Hillary just wasted a >10% point lead.

Momentum is on our side. Hillary just had a few more coughing attacks this week. hack hack.

wait till the debates. Which they rigged btw. First one isn't even a face-off. Separate stages. Different questions. Asked at different times.

Media is totally in bed with Hillary and we're still neck and neck with the fourth quarter to go!!!


Clinton cuts off informal press conference when asked about CNN poll she's losing in
 
1. Hillary pays them 760,000 dolllars a month to distort their polls. Her emails shows that.
2. The NYT reporter explained they manipulated the amount of black people in the survey to get an advantage for Obama.
3. Nate Silver ripped them for being a herder.

that says they are not trustworthy. They manipulate their polls to get the results for pay.
that is inaccurate.
if it happens that Obama won... that was coincidence not accuracy.

Tony Stark said:
Nate nor The NYT's told me PPP wasn't accurate.They can't tell me that because it's easily verifiable that PPP polls are very accurate.
More...
 
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jem said:
1. Hillary pays then 760,000 dolllars a month to distort their polls. Her emails shows that.
2. The NYT reporter explained they manipulated the amount of black people in the survey to get an advantage for Obama.
3. Nate Silver ripped them for being a herder.

that says they are not trustworthy. They manipulate their polls to get the results for pay.
that is inaccurate.
if it happens that Obama won... that was coincidence not accuracy.
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They were one of the top rated pollsters in 2008,2010,and 2014 as well.
 
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