The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

jem said:
If you think that 33 percent more democrats are going to vote... that abc poll would be legit.
dems 36- reps 27- Inds 31

what a ridiculous poll.
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This poll had 35 D and 26 R and were only 1 point off from the actual results


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Just my opinion but I think these pollsters are better at polling than the jem algo.
 
being that obama won by 4 that would be an odd coincidence.... and remember for a a time Ronmney was leading so it took a slanted poll to make it look like obama was leading...

but...
1. how do you know what that template was?


Tony Stark said:
This poll had 35 D and 26 R and were only 1 point off from the actual results


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Just my opinion but I think these pollsters are better at polling than the jem algo.
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Foolish chap:


Eric Trump Poses With Woman Wearing ‘Latina Against Trump’ Shirt
“It stands as a testament to the lack of diversity surrounding that campaign.”


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Here’s one message that got lost in translation.

At rally for Donald Trump Friday, the nominee’s son Eric Trump and his wife, Lara, posed for a photo with a young woman wearing a shirt that said “Latina contra Trump.”

The shirt’s message translates as “Latina against Trump.”

“Congrats, y’all played yourselves,” the shirt’s wearer, 23-year-old Annie Cardelle, posted on Twitter alongside photos from the pro-Trump event in Salisbury, North Carolina.

Annie, who attended the event with her 17-year-old sister, Ceci Cardelle, said she was “shocked” that they were able to pull off the baldfaced stunt.
 
Tony Stark said:
This poll had 35 D and 26 R and were only 1 point off from the actual results


image.jpg


image.jpg



Just my opinion but I think these pollsters are better at polling than the jem algo.
More...

Is it possible you may be wrong?

I just ran the math. Printed out the "Gallup Party Affiliation" historical trends and keep it on the desk. Looks like Republican affiliation polled strongly at 27% as a low point. And 32% for a Democratic party affiliation high point. A spread of 5%.

The spread in the polling you just cited puts the spread at 10%, advantage Democrat. Democratic voters are over sampled, as the hacked emailed exposed they do pre-meditately to skew the polls. Independents were also under-sampled by about 5%.. They help Trump.
 
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