The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

achilles28 said:
Hey Tony. You still smoking that crack?

Clinton leads Trump by 1.5% in the RCP average loloolo

She just blew a 12 point lead.

AND Trump is nearly tied in Wisconsin, Virginia and Michigan.

Ohio and Floridia squarely for Trump.

Donald has trashed Hillary, as of late. Old wheezbag likely won't make it to Nov.



http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
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Hillary is ahead in 5 of the last 7 polls since weekend at Chelsea's,Trump 2 of 7.

Obama won by 126 electoral votes in 2012,she doesn't need Ohio and Florida,although I doubt she loses them both.

Trump isn't ahead in ANY RCP poll in Wisconsin, Virginia and Michigan,not one in over a year of polling.

This is the worst point in Hillary's political career and Trump is still losing badly.People will soon forget about pneumonia gate and Hillary's numbers will go back up.

You better hope the Old wheezbag make's it to Nov,If Biden steps in he will beat trump worse than Hilary.
 
Tony Stark said:
Hillary is ahead in 5 of the last 7 polls since weekend at Chelsea's,Trump 2 of 7.

Obama won by 126 electoral votes in 2012,she doesn't need Ohio and Florida,although I doubt she loses them both.

Trump isn't ahead in ANY RCP poll in Wisconsin, Virginia and Michigan,not one in over a year of polling.

This is the worst point in Hillary's political career and Trump is still losing badly.People will soon forget about pneumonia gate and Hillary's numbers will go back up.

You better hope the Old wheezbag make's it to Nov,If Biden steps in he will beat trump worse than Hilary.
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You are borderline delusional. I liked you before when you were rational.

RCP average has Clinton at +1.5%.

Keep dreaming bud. Shes gonzo.
 
achilles28 said:
That swing can go either way, Tony.

RCP had Obama by +0.4 . Maybe that swing goes to Trump.

I wouldn't be so confident if I were you.
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1.RCP had Obama by +0.7.Considering democrats won the popular vote in 5 out of the last 6 presidential elections I doubt a 3 point popular vote swing goes to Trump.

2.While anything can happen,I'd rather be in Hillary's position than Trumps.
 
the most recent six polls on rcp... (til you go back and see the L.A. times poll again.) have trump in the lead when you average them out.

General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 41, Trump 47 Trump +6
Thursday, September 15
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein FOX News Clinton 41, Trump 40, Johnson 8, Stein 3 Clinton +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton FOX News Clinton 45, Trump 46 Trump +1
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein CBS News/NY Times Clinton 42, Trump 42, Johnson 8, Stein 4 Tie
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton CBS News/NY Times Clinton 46, Trump 44 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Rasmussen Reports Clinton 40, Trump 42, Johnson 7, Stein 2 Trump +2
 
Tony does not like to consider the fact that registered voter polls are needlessly skewed to the democrats.

wait til the herding comes in about a month when some of these crap polls start using honest templates.


by the way I can't believe Polls are showing Trump up in Colorado.
About a week ago they had skewed so far down it seemed out of reach to a person ignorant of the way crap polls operate.

fhl said:
Simultaneous Polling Shifts – Media Switching to “Likely Voters”…

"As we noted in the Bloomberg poll a few days ago (they were first – and we could tell something was up), the pollsters are shifting their methodology. Almost every poll release in the past 72 hours has been using “Likely Voters” instead of “Registered Voters“."

more https://theconservativetreehouse.co...ling-shifts-media-switching-to-likely-voters/


HAHa
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