No picks this week. Crazy spreads on some games, with teams locked into the playoffs planning to sit their starters, etc.
To recap the season, I posted picks here for ten weeks' games. My best week was the first week, when I was 5-1. My worst was last week at 1-3. The total was 24 wins, 13 losses and one push. That's a 64.8% winning percentage, woefully short of the guru services who claim to be 90% correct, but my picks were out there every week for everyone to see. If you wagered $100 on each pick, you'd have made $970, plus been one of your bookie's few customers who made regular money all season. It doesn't sound like much money, but anyone who has ever played the games seriously knows that it is very hard to break even. The last two weeks really hurt me, as I lost five games over that span against only three wins.
One of the keys to doing well is spotting teams that are "undervalued" by the linesmakers. Sometimes the linesmakers just are slow to appreciate a team. Sometimes they have to post a line that will equalize the betting, even if they know it is bogus. This year the Pats have been the best example. They covered for the first 8 or 9 weeks I believe, as the linesmakers could not bring themselves to post 22 point spreads. The Browns, GB and Bills surprised people on the upside, as did the Bears, Ravens, Dolphins and Falcons on the downside. The result is that betting becomes harder as the season progresses, and my results confirm that.
All in all, an interesting season, although one that will be remembered with sadness because of the Sean Taylor tragedy.