The Hill: “Goldman Sachs on Monday issued a report projecting GDP growth will slow to 1.8 percent and 1.6 percent in the third and fourth quarters of 2019, sooner than anticipated and creating a major headwind for GOP candidates the following year.”
Looking at the Dry Baltic Index as shown on bloomberg.com, I see maritime shipping rates are nearing 12 month lows, Spot market available loads for truckng is almost 40% below peaks according to landstaronline.com, pervasive weakness of industrial commodities, and heavy selling in the consumer durables as well as industrial sectors leave me actually hoping for 1 to 2 percent GDP growth rates going forward.
The Federal Reserve historically has been accommodative in the third year of an Presidential election cycle, usually resulting in solid stock market performance and help for the economy. It looks increasingly likely the US economy will need some help, lots of help such that even a trade deal with China may not cure. A significant of the problem is Demographics in developed countries.
Politically, if this results in Leftists gaining control of the Senate and the Presidency, the economic problems for the US will only increase as can be expected whenever Radical Leftists are in power for an extended period of time.
Career politicians just don’t understand what motivates businesses to invest and hire people. Is their plan to scare off businesses and make everyone a Government worker? How has that worked historically in other countries? How was the standard of livng, civil rights, and one’s ability to improve their families situation been in these countries? Why do you think these Communist countries did not have an immigration problem? Tax and spend does not work it the long run. And yes, the Federal budget deficit will grow at a faster rate under future Democratic leadership than even under Trump. You can quote me on that.
Democratic jewel California and its world class economy are seeing slower growth rates than nearby states where businesses and highly paid professionals are leaving in ever greater numbers in order to escape high taxes, traffic, and draconian regulations. Other Radical Leftist controlled places are even worse off.