The IP (illegitimate president)

smallfil said:
https://nypost.com/2021/12/30/hillary-clinton-warns-progressives-could-cost-dems-at-midterms/

Even Hillary Clinton cannot hold her tongue on the extreme liberal Democrats. What say you GWB, ExGoper, Cuddles4BS? Looks like all your freebies are in peril. Ha ha ha ha!
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I have stated many times that the progressives -- who are pushing CRT and other extreme nonsense -- are likely to cause the Democrats significant losses at the national, state, and local levels in 2022 elections. The recent gubernatorial election in Virginia should serve as a significant warning to Democrats.
 
gwb-trading said:
The recent gubernatorial election in Virginia should serve as a significant warning to Democrats.
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Actually that was due to Biden selling out progressives and minorities.They stayed home as they will in 2022 and 2024.


https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/11/glenn-youngkins-win-in-virginia-six-takeaways.html



There were unquestionably turnout patterns that benefitted Youngkin

The early Election Night impression of most observers was that turnout was up pretty much everywhere, and indeed, total turnout was 55 percent of registered voters, up from 48 percent four years ago (though not, of course, anything like the 72 percent turnout in the presidential year of 2020).

But as Ron Brownstein pointed out, the turnout jump was not uniform in size or shape, and thus the electorate skewed red as compared to both 2017 and 2020:

Compared with the 2017 governor’s race, or the 2020 presidential contest in the state, the electorate Tuesday was older, whiter, less college-educated, and more Republican, the exit polls found. Census figures show that voters of color have increased as a share of the state’s eligible voter population since 2017, but in the exit polls nonwhite voters plummeted from about one-third of the electorate in both 2020 and 2017 to only a little over one-fourth this year. Voters under 30 fell from 20 percent of the vote in 2020 and 14 percent in 2017 to just 10 percent Tuesday. College graduates shrank from nearly three-in-five voters in 2017 to just under half. And although Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 11 percentage points in the 2017 electorate, the exit polls found that GOP voters almost exactly equaled them this year.


There are other indicators that the shape of the electorate this year was friendlier to any Republican who might have been on the ballot. The Black percentage of the electorate was 20 percent in 2017. In 2021 it was 16 percent. Self-identified conservatives represented 31 percent of the vote in 2017 and 36 percent in 2021. Perhaps most tellingly, white voters without a college degree were 26 percent of the electorate in 2017 and 36 percent in 2021 (white college graduates dropped from 41 percent in 2017 to 37 percent in 2021).
 
gwb-trading said:
The recent gubernatorial election in Virginia should serve as a significant warning to Democrats.
More...


https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/11/glenn-youngkins-win-in-virginia-six-takeaways.html

Youngkin didn’t really win by flipping the NoVa suburbs

Preelection analysis heavily emphasized the battle for the vote-heavy Northern Virginia suburbs, in part because college-educated white suburban voters were thought to be the key to recent Democratic success, and in part because Youngkin lived in NoVa and campaigned there heavily. He did improve on Ed Gillespie’s 2017 performance by roughly five points in NoVa (which represented 28 percent of the vote in 2017 and 29 percent in 2021), but the region did not disproportionately contribute to a six-point improvement on Gillespie’s vote percentage statewide. In fact, Youngkin’s percentage advantage over Gillespie was quite even across all the state’s regions with the exception of Hampton Roads, where he did nine points better.

As for the idea that Youngkin “flipped” college-educated white voters statewide: It seems he actually trailed Ed Gillespie’s losing performance in this category (Youngkin won 47 percent of these voters, while Gillespie won 48 percent).
 
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