The Election Autopsy

My biology made me do it? Why some voters may embrace the right

The way your body automatically responds to a threatening picture is strongly linked to how likely you are to favour right wing populism, saysJohn Hibbing

gettyimages-172096938-800x533.jpg

What are you afraid of?
Boris Horvat/Getty

ByJohn Hibbing

A cute bunny or a coiled snake? If given the choice of looking at happy or ominous images, humans spend more time on the ominous ones. We also remember threatening stimuli more readily and display heightened physiological responses to them. This makes perfect evolutionary sense since organisms not attuned to threats in the environment are less likely to survive and prosper.

Such tendencies, however, often mask a lot of variation in response.Certain people are significantly more “threat sensitive” than othersand react more strongly to threats. They typically favour policy proposals that would seem to mitigate threats. You might think those attuned to threats should be especially likely to want to do something about them.

But here is where things get interesting. All threats are not created equal and elevated threat sensitivity appears to favour some policy areas rather than others.

For example, those who have measurably higher levels of threat sensitivity – recorded via changes in skin conductance, for example, when presented with a threatening image – are more likely to support law and order policies such as mandatory sentences and the death penalty, increased defence spending, restrictions on immigration, gun rights, unifying, patriotic displays, and traditional lifestyles such as heterosexual families.

At the same time, those registering high on indicators of threat sensitivity do not seem to be especially supportive of policies targeted at other potential threats such as those created by climate change, gun accidents, or by a failure of international diplomacy.

Right-wing similarities

Explaining these inconsistencies seems particularly important in the wake of the US elections, but also because we see similar patterns among supporters of right-wing people’s parties around the world.

Why are the predominantly conservative and therefore mainly threat sensitive supporters of Donald Trump so eager to restrict migration, to treat lawbreakers harshly, and to elevate their group above all other groups by “making America great again” when they are remarkably sanguine about the long-term dangers of global warming?

Part of the answer may lie in the contours of human evolution. Throughout our history as a species, the primary threats we faced emanated from other human beings, either from members of the tribe over the hill or from members of our own group breaching accepted norms of behaviour.

Given the length of time we existed in hunter-gatherer bands, threats from out-groups and from in-group violators of the norm may have become ingrained in our social defence mechanisms. Modern problems such as global warming have no evolutionary correlate and therefore convincing people of their dangers is likely to be a much tougher sell.

We are intensely social creatures and the threats that motivate us to take political action are likely to be social. Longer-term, abstract, non-social threats require extra work from humans, especially those busy dealing with the social threats they think they see in their immediate environment.

None of this is to say larger, modern, non-social threats are unimportant; only that, somewhat ironically, recognition of their importance may not come naturally to threat sensitive individuals.

It may be no coincidence that the candidate to rise out of a threat-sensitive voter base was not a tree-hugging, planet-saving environmentalist but rather an isolationist, anti-immigrant, law-and-order populist. And with populists emboldened and a common biology to tap, more could follow elsewhere.

https://www.newscientist.com/articl...-do-it-why-some-voters-may-embrace-the-right/
 
Your author attempted to make the amgydala argument without actually citing to any studies. Here is the definitive and correct discussion of this argument.

https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-and-demo-lies-not-trump-causing-snap.304540/

The studies show that lefties have smaller amygdalas. Therefore they have smaller social circles and have trouble determining who is lying to them and distinguishing friend vs foe. In short since lefties were told that Trump had no chance by all their "trusted" sources... theyare now falling apart. Its like when little kids first realize their Dad's and moms are not perfect.

now for the rest of argument...

2. There is no peer reviewed literature showing man made co2 is causing warming.
So once again the small amygdala is letting the left down. Lefties did not realize cnn and abc and msnbc and all the dem politicians lied to them about Trump winning an now they don't realize their is no peer reviewed science showing man made co2 is a threat to world. Your writer apparently did not realize the irony of his ignorance. He thinks the informed people on the right should still believe what his media friends tell him instead of doing the research and determining for himself there is no peer reviewed science stating man made co2 causes warming... .none it does not exist. Can you believe how ignorant that writer is?

3. gun control same problem. Large amygdalas let smart people realize the threat of a leftist govt taking away their rights far outweighs the benefit of taking away guns... since the criminals still have them. Once again the small amydala lets lefty drones trust their leaders who have armed body guards.

I could go on but that might lead to a requirement of large amygdala's to vote. If you don't know that the left is scary because it leads to cronies taking away your freedoms...
you probably have a small amygdala and trust cnn and the new york times and establishment cronies.




My biology made me do it? Why some voters may embrace the right

The way your body automatically responds to a threatening picture is strongly linked to how likely you are to favour right wing populism, saysJohn Hibbing

gettyimages-172096938-800x533.jpg

What are you afraid of?
Boris Horvat/Getty

ByJohn Hibbing

A cute bunny or a coiled snake? If given the choice of looking at happy or ominous images, humans spend more time on the ominous ones. We also remember threatening stimuli more readily and display heightened physiological responses to them. This makes perfect evolutionary sense since organisms not attuned to threats in the environment are less likely to survive and prosper.

Such tendencies, however, often mask a lot of variation in response.Certain people are significantly more “threat sensitive” than othersand react more strongly to threats. They typically favour policy proposals that would seem to mitigate threats. You might think those attuned to threats should be especially likely to want to do something about them.

But here is where things get interesting. All threats are not created equal and elevated threat sensitivity appears to favour some policy areas rather than others.

For example, those who have measurably higher levels of threat sensitivity – recorded via changes in skin conductance, for example, when presented with a threatening image – are more likely to support law and order policies such as mandatory sentences and the death penalty, increased defence spending, restrictions on immigration, gun rights, unifying, patriotic displays, and traditional lifestyles such as heterosexual families.

At the same time, those registering high on indicators of threat sensitivity do not seem to be especially supportive of policies targeted at other potential threats such as those created by climate change, gun accidents, or by a failure of international diplomacy.

Right-wing similarities

Explaining these inconsistencies seems particularly important in the wake of the US elections, but also because we see similar patterns among supporters of right-wing people’s parties around the world.

Why are the predominantly conservative and therefore mainly threat sensitive supporters of Donald Trump so eager to restrict migration, to treat lawbreakers harshly, and to elevate their group above all other groups by “making America great again” when they are remarkably sanguine about the long-term dangers of global warming?

Part of the answer may lie in the contours of human evolution. Throughout our history as a species, the primary threats we faced emanated from other human beings, either from members of the tribe over the hill or from members of our own group breaching accepted norms of behaviour.

Given the length of time we existed in hunter-gatherer bands, threats from out-groups and from in-group violators of the norm may have become ingrained in our social defence mechanisms. Modern problems such as global warming have no evolutionary correlate and therefore convincing people of their dangers is likely to be a much tougher sell.

We are intensely social creatures and the threats that motivate us to take political action are likely to be social. Longer-term, abstract, non-social threats require extra work from humans, especially those busy dealing with the social threats they think they see in their immediate environment.

None of this is to say larger, modern, non-social threats are unimportant; only that, somewhat ironically, recognition of their importance may not come naturally to threat sensitive individuals.

It may be no coincidence that the candidate to rise out of a threat-sensitive voter base was not a tree-hugging, planet-saving environmentalist but rather an isolationist, anti-immigrant, law-and-order populist. And with populists emboldened and a common biology to tap, more could follow elsewhere.

https://www.newscientist.com/articl...-do-it-why-some-voters-may-embrace-the-right/
 
Last edited:
22 counties that help tell the story of how Hillary Clinton lost
5 / 19
AA2thnK.img

The Washington Post
Chris Cillizza58 mins ago
All elections are, at their heart, a battle of the two parties' bases. The 2016 presidential election was no different.

There are lots of ways to slice and dice how and why Hillary Clinton lost on Nov. 8 what looked — by virtually every measure — like a race she could not lose. But, to me, the most compelling reason is this: She simply didn't excite or turn out the Democratic base enough.

This chart, which comes via the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, encapsulates Clinton's base problem nicely. It breaks down turnout from 22 key counties in six swing states — five of which Clinton lost (or, in the case of Michigan, looks likely to lose).

AAkzvrb.img

© Provided by WP Company LLC d/b/a The Washington Post

"In Virginia, the Clinton campaign was able to get the turnout they needed in Fairfax County — helping her win the state," reads the memo from POS. "But in the other states, note the significant turnout drops in key Democratic counties in Wisconsin, North Carolina, Ohio, and Michigan."

That's spot on. In 13 of the 22 key counties identified above, turnout was lower in 2016 than 2012. While Clinton matched or, in many cases, slightly improved on President Obama's showing in these counties, her margins weren't enough to make up for the broader turnout drop.

Take Wisconsin, for example. Here's how Clinton and Obama did in Milwaukee County, the largest county — by population — in the state.

Clinton: 288,986 votes

Obama: 328,090 votes

That's a 39,000 vote difference, Clinton lost the entire state by just more than 27,000 votes. So, yeah...

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...ow-hillary-clinton-lost/ar-AAkzxXq?li=BBnb7Kz
 
based on the chart provided his conclusion is suspect.
More democrats turned out to vote in Miami, Broward Dade and Orange.

Its probably more likely that more dems voted for Trump... and that Hillary could not make up for it with as many dead and multiple votes.

22 counties that help tell the story of how Hillary Clinton lost
5 / 19
AA2thnK.img

The Washington Post
Chris Cillizza58 mins ago
All elections are, at their heart, a battle of the two parties' bases. The 2016 presidential election was no different.

There are lots of ways to slice and dice how and why Hillary Clinton lost on Nov. 8 what looked — by virtually every measure — like a race she could not lose. But, to me, the most compelling reason is this: She simply didn't excite or turn out the Democratic base enough.

This chart, which comes via the Republican polling firm Public Opinion Strategies, encapsulates Clinton's base problem nicely. It breaks down turnout from 22 key counties in six swing states — five of which Clinton lost (or, in the case of Michigan, looks likely to lose).

AAkzvrb.img

© Provided by WP Company LLC d/b/a The Washington Post

"In Virginia, the Clinton campaign was able to get the turnout they needed in Fairfax County — helping her win the state," reads the memo from POS. "But in the other states, note the significant turnout drops in key Democratic counties in Wisconsin, North Carolina, Ohio, and Michigan."

That's spot on. In 13 of the 22 key counties identified above, turnout was lower in 2016 than 2012. While Clinton matched or, in many cases, slightly improved on President Obama's showing in these counties, her margins weren't enough to make up for the broader turnout drop.

Take Wisconsin, for example. Here's how Clinton and Obama did in Milwaukee County, the largest county — by population — in the state.

Clinton: 288,986 votes

Obama: 328,090 votes

That's a 39,000 vote difference, Clinton lost the entire state by just more than 27,000 votes. So, yeah...

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/polit...ow-hillary-clinton-lost/ar-AAkzxXq?li=BBnb7Kz
 
WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

WWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWOOOW
wow
wow
wow

Count them again!
Count them again!
Count them again!
Count them again!

:wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf::wtf:

Computer scientists urge Clinton campaign to challenge election results

By Dan Merica, CNN

Updated 10:23 PM ET, Tue November 22, 2016


161109095636-36-hour-clinton-campaign-rollercoaster-origwx-00012214-exlarge-169.jpg


(CNN)Hillary Clinton's campaign is being urged by a number of top computer scientists to call for a recount of vote totals in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, according to a source with knowledge of the request.

The computer scientists believe they have found evidence that vote totals in the three states could have been manipulated or hacked and presented their findings to top Clinton aides on a call last Thursday.

The scientists, among them J. Alex Halderman, the director of the University of Michigan Center for Computer Security and Society, told the Clinton campaign they believe there is a questionable trend of Clinton performing worse in counties that relied on electronic voting machines compared to paper ballots and optical scanners, according to the source...

http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/22/politics/hillary-clinton-challenge-results/index.html
 

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