Quote from rwk:
A supplement to the 11/2007 issue of "Futures" magazine, entitled Agents of Change, has an article about Richard Dennis that appears to have fairly recent quotes. This is one I found interesting:
Dennis says trend following is more difficult today and the struggles of trend followers are not simply due to cycles but to a fundamental change in the markets. "Something has changed. There is certainly more efficiency. I think trend following is harder, it had to get that way because the more people do it, the more that the opportunities are arbitraged out," he says.
[rwk]
heres TF system going back to 1970. Things have changed in some ways, but the basic underlying basis for price movement, human decision making tree, haven't. And even algo's will have a underlying decision making principle or basis, that can be elucidated from price patterns.
-gold
-oil
-dollar
-bonds
-equities
are caught in psychological loops. Much more so, dollar and oil.

