The Complete TurtleTrader - "Memo" to Cut Back

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Quote from Trend Following:

Serious about the interviews. 'scarylarry' would you appear on film?

Its not a gay film is it? If not I wold consider. And before you ask, the answer is no, I won't take a free copy of your book as payment.
 
Quote from scarylarry:

If not I wold consider. And before you ask, the answer is no, I won't take a free copy of your book as payment.

<a href="http://www.michaelcovel.com/archives/001421.html">Film note</a>.
 
real turtle farm.
turtle05-2.jpg

turtle05-3.jpg
 
Quote from Trend Following:

<a href="http://www.michaelcovel.com/archives/001421.html">Film note</a>.

I don't think I would be good material for your flim. I wish you luck with your book although I believe it's value is more anecdotal than anything and I have Erma Bombeck and Readers Digest for that.

Secondly, I have done extensive backtesting and have written several algorithms using some of the methods Dennis instilled in his pupils and have had limited success as compared to the algos I use now. But if you would like to use it as an addendum to your current book or as part of the sequel here it is:
{
var ChannelUp, ChannelDn, LongExit, ShrtExit, FailsafeUp, FailsafeDn : integer;
var N, L1, S1, L2, S2, L3, S3, L4, S4, SE, LE, LS, SS, FU, FD, Account, tick: float;
var BrktProf : float;
var Bar, p, LeadBars, ATRParam, LstPsExBar : integer;
var cond20 : boolean;

{ Parameters input }
ChannelUp := 20 ;
ChannelDn := 20 ;
LongExit := 10 ;
ShrtExit := 10 ;
FailsafeUp := 55 ;
FailsafeDn := 55 ;
ATRParam := 20 ;
Account := 1000000 ; //This is the notional account

{ Cosmetics and general info }
HideVolume ;
PlotStops;
EnableNotes(True);
tick := GetTick ; //Tick Size in future table or 0

{ Indicators plotting }
PlotSeries( HighestSeries( #High, ChannelUp ), 0, #blue, #Thin );
PlotSeries( LowestSeries( #Low, ChannelDn ), 0, #fuchsia, #Thin );
PlotSeries( HighestSeries( #High, FailsafeUp ), 0, #green, #Dotted );
PlotSeries( LowestSeries( #Low, FailsafeDn ), 0, #green, #Dotted );

{ MAIN CYCLE }
LeadBars := Trunc(Max(FailsafeUp, FailsafeDn)); // Failsafe > Channel and Failsafe > Exit
for Bar := LeadBars to BarCount - 1 do
begin
SE := Highest( Bar, #High, ShrtExit) + tick ;
LE := Lowest( Bar, #Low, LongExit) - tick ;
N := ATR( Bar, ATRParam ); // N calculation
SetShareSize(Int( (Account * 0.01) / (N * GetPointValue))); // Unit

{ Entering the first position }
if PositionCount = 0 then begin
L1 := Highest( Bar, #High, ChannelUp) + tick ;
S1 := Lowest( Bar, #Low, ChannelDn) - tick ;
L2 := L1 + 0.5 * N ;
S2 := S1 - 0.5 * N ;
L3 := L1 + 1.0 * N ;
S3 := S1 - 1.0 * N ;
L4 := L1 + 1.5 * N ;
S4 := S1 - 1.5 * N ;
BuyAtStop( Bar + 1, L1, 'L1 ' + FormatFloat( '#0.00', L1));
ShortAtStop( Bar + 1, S1, 'S1 ' + FormatFloat( '#0.00', S1));
end; // of 'if PositionCount = 0 then'

{ Entering positions if not the first one }
if PositionCount > 0 then begin

if ActivePositionCount = 0 then begin
{ if cond20 is true, System 1 rules are triggered, otherwise
System 2 rules apply. Ref. Faith page 19; cond20 turns true
if last traded breakout was unprofitable. Faith rules state that
not traded breakouts should also be considered,
but this Script is currently limited to those actually traded. }
cond20 := false ;
BrktProf := 0 ;
LstPsExBar := PositionExitBar( PositionCount - 1 );
for p := 0 to PositionCount - 1 do begin
if PositionExitBar( p ) = LstPsExBar then
BrktProf := BrktProf + PositionProfit( p );
end ; // Sum up all position profits belonging to the last breakout

if BrktProf < 0 then
cond20 := true ;

if cond20 = true then begin
L1 := Highest( Bar, #High, ChannelUp) + tick ;
S1 := Lowest( Bar, #Low, ChannelDn) - tick ;
L2 := L1 + 0.5 * N ;
S2 := S1 - 0.5 * N ;
L3 := L1 + 1.0 * N ;
S3 := S1 - 1.0 * N ;
L4 := L1 + 1.5 * N ;
S4 := S1 - 1.5 * N ;
BuyAtStop( Bar + 1, L1, 'L1 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', L1));
ShortAtStop( Bar + 1, S1, 'S1 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', S1));
end // of cases where cond20 = true
else
begin
L1 := Highest( Bar, #High, FailsafeUp) + tick ;
S1 := Lowest( Bar, #Low, FailsafeDn) - tick ;
L2 := L1 + 0.5 * N ;
S2 := S1 - 0.5 * N ;
L3 := L1 + 1.0 * N ;
S3 := S1 - 1.0 * N ;
L4 := L1 + 1.5 * N ;
S4 := S1 - 1.5 * N ;
BuyAtStop( Bar + 1, L1, 'FU');
ShortAtStop( Bar + 1, S1, 'FD');
end; // of cases where cond20 = false
end; // of entering positions ActivePositionCount = 0

if ActivePositionCount = 1 then begin
LS := L1 - 2 * N ;
SS := S1 + 2 * N ;
BuyAtStop( Bar + 1, L2, 'L2 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', L2));
ShortAtStop (Bar + 1, S2, 'S2 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', S2));
end;

if ActivePositionCount = 2 then begin
LS := L2 - 2 * N ;
SS := S2 + 2 * N ;
BuyAtStop( Bar + 1, L3, 'L3 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', L3));
ShortAtStop (Bar + 1, S3, 'S3 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', S3));
end;

if ActivePositionCount = 3 then begin
LS := L3 - 2 * N ;
SS := S3 + 2 * N ;
BuyAtStop( Bar + 1, L4, 'L4 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', L4));
ShortAtStop (Bar + 1, S4, 'S4 '+ FormatFloat( '#0.00', S4));
end;

if ActivePositionCount = 4 then begin
LS := L4 - 2 * N ;
SS := S4 + 2 * N ;
end;

end; // of buying rules when PositionCount > 0

{ Check for position exit conditions }
for p := 0 to PositionCount -1 do begin
if PositionActive(p) then
if Positionlong(p) then SellAtStop( Bar + 1, LS, p, 'LongStop')
else CoverAtStop( Bar + 1, SS, p, 'ShortStop');
if PositionActive(p) then
if Positionlong(p) then SellAtStop( Bar + 1, LE, p, 'LongExit')
else CoverAtStop( Bar + 1, SE, p, 'ShortExit');
end; // of position exits
end; // OF THE MAIN CYCLE
}
 
Quote from scarylarry:

But if you would like to use it as an addendum to your current book or as part of the sequel here it is...

Thanks for the feedback.
 
Quote from Trend Following:

The four Turtles who did the research were Paul Rabar, Tom Shanks, Erle Keefer and Jiri Svoboda.

The memo does not back up this claim.

The memo talks about 'real world trading' not research.
 
Quote from nkhoi:

real turtle farm.
turtle05-2.jpg

turtle05-3.jpg

Where is that? Your picture?
 
Quote from Spectre2007:

Mike,

have you done a study on how long trends persist for on average?

It depends on your exit criteria. Longer term TF can leave a trend in tact much longer than shorter term TF. And there are no shortage of trend traders taking different angles and time horizons on "trends".
 
Quote from Trend Following:

For example, Jerry Parker answered a random want ad, had no real trading experience, and is now arguably a billionaire from trend trading. We can agree to disagree.

As mentioned in the post you quoted...that is just my opinion. I personally find that less than interesting.
 
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