The ACD Method

Hell, throw the Coal shorts in there too. Why is this up 60% this year with natty close to zero? I haven't heard a peep in the debates about giving any handouts to the coal producers. I thought they had one foot in the grave.
Do you have any thoughts on BTU? I bought their bonds a couple weeks ago, and got a nice rally out of it. I am thinking if they file the recovery will be greater than what I paid as it was only 4 cents on the dollar or so.
 
Hell, throw the Coal shorts in there too. Why is this up 60% this year with natty close to zero? I haven't heard a peep in the debates about giving any handouts to the coal producers. I thought they had one foot in the grave.
Maybe this is what Greenpeace really mean when they say "Alternate Energy Sources". :-)
 
Do you have any thoughts on BTU? I bought their bonds a couple weeks ago, and got a nice rally out of it. I am thinking if they file the recovery will be greater than what I paid as it was only 4 cents on the dollar or so.

The only theory I have on any of the coal names is Ackman is short 100 billion shares of all of them and he is in the process of liquidating everything to raise liquidity. There is no reason on earth for coal to be up much less a viable forward business concern.
 
A lot of people are pulling their hair out. Bond shorts, Gold shorts, ES shorts, Bill Ackman. LOL. Even Natty is up 20% off the lows, although got a buy signal on the widowmaker last week. No wonder Goldman is slashing trading staff. This has been a brutal 2016 for most hedge funds and banks.

For 2017 widow maker?
 
The only theory I have on any of the coal names is Ackman is short 100 billion shares of all of them and he is in the process of liquidating everything to raise liquidity. There is no reason on earth for coal to be up much less a viable forward business concern.
That's a very good point. I just checked, didn't realize they are up more than double what I paid now, so I might lock in half and let the other half ride for now.
 

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I think the rally that we are seeing in equities is primarily due to the fact that the Fed is removing the patient from life support via interest rates, and the economic data coming out so far is shows that the US economy is holding up well. The recovery in oil prices is not hurting things either.

The overarching foundational argument the bears have made over the last 7 years is that no matter how much the market rose in the short term, it would eventually come crashing down once the Fed took its foot off the gas.

If the economic data continues to show that the US economy is holding up fine without Fed intervention, then I could see the blow off top coming to the stock market. For some additional euphoria, add in the the presidential campaign of the most private-sector qualified candidate we have seen in our lifetimes, and I think the pieces are coming into place for irrational exuberance.
 
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