Mav,
The US market has been really resilient on these bad news...does this change your thesis at all or at least give it pause?
No,it further supports it. A blastoff to new highs and beyond in parabolic fashion.
Mav,
The US market has been really resilient on these bad news...does this change your thesis at all or at least give it pause?
I suspect the first fed rate high will send the market to the sky. I honestly think this trade is analogous to my long Bond call right before the debt downgrade in 2011. The whole world was leaning short into that event. I believe the same will be true in Dec and the shorts will get lit up. I think people are really underestimating how bullish the first fed rate hike will be.
Years ago I swore that I would never try to pick tops or bottoms but current nat gas prices are sooo tempting!