The ACD Method

Quote from Maverick74:

BTW guys, the forum is open to posting your trade ideas or stuff you are looking at that looks interesting. I cover everything but I still miss stuff. So don't be shy! :)
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Its not exactly ACD, but I've been working on an approach to capture the move from somewhere around the open to the normal distribution of bigger moves which falls somewhere around the A level most of the time. Had my first trade this week with this style in AUD/USD. It worked perfectly and now I've closed and price is chopping around the monthly A down area. I feel like ACD and some stats are really helping me to understand how to read markets. Lots to learn of course but this thread is really helping.
 
Quote from Maverick74:

Oil making a run at the A up at 99.00.

Has to get through this pivot first.
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Not trading much, checking in from time to time. Maverick, CL weekly A up 100.06 and $99 is 11/15/2011 daily A up?

My daily A up was 98.27, based of 8.30 to 9.15 am OR with A value of 8 cents. High probability set up, when price came back to 98.30 after making an A up and running up to 99.20. We also had daily pivot support at 98.30. Strong number line, daily A up, daily pivot support and move of 160 ticks back to 99.84.

Thanks for sharing Brent and WTI spread relationship. Never looked at it before.

Shows, all levels work if one is consistent with or , number line etc..
 
Quote from baggerlord:

Its not exactly ACD, but I've been working on an approach to capture the move from somewhere around the open to the normal distribution of bigger moves which falls somewhere around the A level most of the time. Had my first trade this week with this style in AUD/USD. It worked perfectly and now I've closed and price is chopping around the monthly A down area. I feel like ACD and some stats are really helping me to understand how to read markets. Lots to learn of course but this thread is really helping.
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To explain that better, what I mean is by studying ACD and related concepts I am learning to understand the market in terms of open, open range, and the distribution of moves from that open. For some reason movement from open to A level seems the easiest to trade right now for me. I am sure as I progress I will get a better understand of price action outside A levels and how to trade it. At work I like to pull up an hourly chart of the AUD/USD on my phone and mentally paper trade how I would play it in the short term based on daily weekly and monthly A levels. It really puts a nice framework around the market.
 
Quote from baggerlord:

To explain that better, what I mean is by studying ACD and related concepts I am learning to understand the market in terms of open, open range, and the distribution of moves from that open. For some reason movement from open to A level seems the easiest to trade right now for me. I am sure as I progress I will get a better understand of price action outside A levels and how to trade it. At work I like to pull up an hourly chart of the AUD/USD on my phone and mentally paper trade how I would play it in the short term based on daily weekly and monthly A levels. It really puts a nice framework around the market.
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Since A levels depends on time used for OR and A values used, what values you are using? I have just started looking into currencies after just trading cl.
 
Quote from baggerlord:

To explain that better, what I mean is by studying ACD and related concepts I am learning to understand the market in terms of open, open range, and the distribution of moves from that open. For some reason movement from open to A level seems the easiest to trade right now for me. I am sure as I progress I will get a better understand of price action outside A levels and how to trade it. At work I like to pull up an hourly chart of the AUD/USD on my phone and mentally paper trade how I would play it in the short term based on daily weekly and monthly A levels. It really puts a nice framework around the market.
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How are the noise levels working out for you? How many days do you include in calcs of those levels?

Volatility has died down as of late...not getting alot of action in the equity market right now
 
The noise levels are an average which doesn't make sense to use if you think about it. I calculate my own levels based on the distribution rather than an average. I'm also just using opening price as opposed to range.
 
Quote from baggerlord:

The noise levels are an average which doesn't make sense to use if you think about it. I calculate my own levels based on the distribution rather than an average. I'm also just using opening price as opposed to range.
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oh ok...how many data points do you include in your levels? In other words, how responsive is it to current changes in volatility.

I'm using a 10 day ATR for my level...but i'm daytrading so in principle I would want to my levels to be more responsive to changes in volatility. I Have noticed that recent volatility is a good predictor of future volatility :)
 
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