The ACD Method

Quote from DT3:

BOIL failing to take out the 60 level after 3 tries a big tell. Wish I listened to my gut and sold on friday, prob gonna sell if we get some bounce into.the close
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Natty failed at the monthly A up for the 2nd time. It has also confirmed a weekly A down.

BTW, KOLD is the inverse ticker for BOIL.
 

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Quote from boze_man:

hey mav...what are your natty weekly numbers? are you using dec or nov?

thanks B
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Using NOV.

3.71 and 3.51 are the weekly levels. Confirmed weekly A down today off the failed monthly A up.
 
thanks mav...i was using dec...

how do ya handle the roll on various contracts? will ya run the nov numbers for dec? or rerun the numbers using dec? natgas is pretty liquid till expiry so i guess ya could use the nov contract but for somethin like crude which expires mid month how would ya handle the roll?

thanks B
 
Quote from boze_man:

thanks mav...i was using dec...

how do ya handle the roll on various contracts? will ya run the nov numbers for dec? or rerun the numbers using dec? natgas is pretty liquid till expiry so i guess ya could use the nov contract but for somethin like crude which expires mid month how would ya handle the roll?

thanks B
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I can't remember the last time I saw one month confirm and the following month did not. So basically all the months seem to trade together. If one fails, they all fail. If one confirms, they all confirm. So you can use Nov and roll to Dec when the volume switches over and the trade is still valid.
 
Quote from baggerlord:

Any recommendations on value to use for london session on CL?
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Are you asking about the opening range? I think if you want to trade CL over night you are better off trading Brent.
 
Quote from baggerlord:

Any recommendations on value to use for london session on CL?
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think fisher once talked about a 'double' A up type concept where if you had an A up for london sesssion and then had A up in US session was like a double confirmation type thing...made the bias stronger etc...

me personally i think it would add value...could look at it like FX where ya have 3 sessions...and each could have A up/down...
 
Quote from Maverick74:

I can't remember the last time I saw one month confirm and the following month did not. So basically all the months seem to trade together. If one fails, they all fail. If one confirms, they all confirm. So you can use Nov and roll to Dec when the volume switches over and the trade is still valid.
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thanks for the reply
 
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