Technical analysis

For what is worth, Surf and I made a trading bet. My rationale was using TA and he will lose that bet

I hope Technical Analysis wins.
Technical_Analysis.jpg
 
"Technical Analysis"... is a study of "buying and selling"... what players are ACTUALLY DOING WITH THEIR MONEY.

Isn't that a trader's objective... to be in tune with whatever the mass of buyers or sellers are doing? Isn't that what moves prices?
you use trendlines and patterns etc?
thanks
 
you use trendlines and patterns etc?
thanks

Of course. Trend lines are some of the "TA patterns".

I haven't bothered to "count them up", but there are perhaps 20 other important "TA Patterns" one should be watching for... and traded properly for their "probability of outcome".

In a baseball analogy, it's easy to work yourself into anticipating "dead red" but instead, "get the hook".... if you know what I mean.
 
Last edited:
A:
The main difference between fast and slow stochastics is summed up in one word: sensitivity. The fast stochastic is more sensitive than the slow stochastic to changes in the price of the underlying security and will likely result in many transaction signals. However, to really understand this difference, you should first understand what the stochastic momentum indicator is all about.

The stochastic momentum oscillator is used to compare where a security's price closed relative to its price range over a given period of time. It is calculated using the following formula:

%K = 100[(C – L14)/(H14 – L14)]
C
= the most recent closing price
L14 = the low of the 14 previous trading sessions
H14 = the highest price traded during the same 14-day period.

A %K result of 80 is interpreted to mean that the price of the security closed above 80% of all prior closing prices that have occurred over the past 14 days. The main assumption is that a security's price will trade at the top of the range in a major uptrend. A three-period moving average of the %K called %D is usually included to act as a signal line. Transaction signals are usually made when the %K crosses through the %D. Generally, a period of 14 days is used in the above calculation, but this period is often modified by traders to make this indicator more or less sensitive to movements in the price of the underlying asset. The result obtained from applying the formula above is known as the fast stochastic. Some traders find that this indicator is too responsive to price changes, which ultimately leads to being taken out of positions prematurely. To solve this problem, the slow stochastic was invented by applying a three-period moving average to the %K of the fast calculation. Taking a three-period moving average of the fast stochastic's %K has proved to be an effective way to increase the quality of transaction signals; it also reduces the number of false crossovers. After the first moving average is applied to the fast stochastic's %K, an additional three-period moving average is then applied - making what is known as the slow stochastic's %D. Close inspection will reveal that the %K of the slow stochastic is the same as the %D (signal line) on the fast stochastic.

An easy way to remember the difference between the two is to think of the fast stochastic as a sports car and the slow stochastic as a limousine. Like a sports car, the fast stochastic is agile and changes direction very quickly in response to sudden changes. The slow stochastic takes a little more time to change direction. Mathematically, the two oscillators are nearly the same except that the slow stochastic's %K is created by taking a three-period average of the fast stochastic's %K. Taking a three-period moving average of each %K will result in the line that is used for a signal.


Read more: What is the difference between fast and slow stochastics in technical analysis? http://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/05/062405.asp#ixzz3p2VEXPke
Follow us: Investopedia on Facebook
 
Really? Link and quotes to your achievements please. For what it's worth so far you have not shown that you even understand 7th grade biology and how bees make love. How about a link to the wonderful competitions you won? Or the 100 million you made? Must have been on aT least 500 million investment unless you ran some insane risk. Please point us to it. We would love to learn from a Biologist how he outsmarts the rest. So far most in medicine or life sciences have shown that they are utterly terrible traders. But hey you may be the notable exception. Of course so far it's only words.

Well, I've won a national investing "real money" championship (and nearly won 3 other times)... and have taken around $100 Million from the markets for myself and clients... all using "price chart TA"... of course I should be regarded as "irrelevant" according to Mayer's Law*... because few want to believe what I do actually works. (sarcasm, of course)

I get it! You've got a strong opinion. What you DON'T know is that your opinion is WRONG because you don't understand!!

I know you've made good money over the years, as you're still in business... but I suspect you could have made a lot more with a little "tweaking to your thinking".

(For all of you viewing this thread... Surf and I have a connection. He has a much larger operation than mine, and I've sold him a few workstation computers... he can use lots of computers, I need only a few. I respect that he's made money (there is more than one way to "skin the market's cat"), but his disagreement about what I do is ALL WRONG. I suspect he'd make a LOT more money if he listened to me and understood TA as I do. However... if you've been successful, it's difficult to adopt anything other... thinking others who don't do what you do, "don't get it".)

* A corollary to Murphy's Law... which states, "If the theory is not supported by the facts, they will be disregarded".
 
Which school? Care to post your graduation certificate? I have. Others have. So far you only have a big mouth but not much aside.
I'm a smart guy, and proud of it! I graduated Summa Cum Laude (3.97/4.0 GPA) in science.. Chemistry and Biology primarily. One of the benefits of an education in science is the development of one's deductive reasoning abilities. (Like when Sherlock Holmes was asked... "What exactly is it that you do, Mr. Holmes?" He replied, "I observe and deduce". I cannot overemphasize how relevant that statement is to trading the financial markets.)

There is nothing to debate. Proper TA analysis works like "finding money in the street". If you don't believe that, it's because you don't "get it".

I understand you have a different approach/belief.. though I don't know exactly what that is... but your disdain of "proper TA" is totally off base.
 
That is utter bullshit. What in historical prices tells you what "PLAYERS" are actually doing? And please explain to us why a 5 minute bar matters more than a 4.7532minute one. And please explain why people use time compression in the first place and not volume compression for example.

"Technical Analysis"... is a study of "buying and selling"... what players are ACTUALLY DOING WITH THEIR MONEY.

Isn't that a trader's objective... to be in tune with whatever the mass of buyers or sellers are doing? Isn't that what moves prices?
 
Back
Top