Taking 103K to 1.2million by Year End 2008

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Weekly Update for week 3 ended 02/02/2008

Flattish week, up 1K (1%). Overtraded quite a bit. I should watch it.

Lost on Thursay shorting AMZN. Looks like they could find nothing wrong even with the margin pressure.

I have been somewhat cautious, as I seek to bring the balance back to six digits. Cannot afford to suffer a big drawdown from here.

Looking forward to next week.

Code:
Balance B/F:                   	    	 93,284
Net Gain for the week 		          1,039
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		 94,323
Number of Trades	            	 19
Number of Profitable Trades    	    	 11

Since Inception of Thread   01/13/2008 - 02/02/2008

Balance B/F:                   		102,615
Net Gain (Less Margin Interest)		 -8,292
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		 94,323  (Down 8%)
Number of Trades	           	 41
Number of Profitable Trades        	 24

Expected Balance at this time to be on track for Year-End Target : 
			       118931

Status:			       Behind Target		(Based on adjusted balance before withdrawals)

Top/Bottom Discretionary Trades for the week

TICKER	ENTRY DATE/TIME		EXIT DATE/TIME		QTY	PURCHASE AMT	SOLD AMT	GAINS/LOSS	TYPE

BDUBJ	2008-01-31-09-32-13	2008-01-31-11-53-18	500	11180		15500		4282.34		BIDU CALL
AMZN	2008-01-30-16-08-32	2008-01-30-16-20-24	1000	71487		75000		3491.79		SHORT
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BDK	2008-01-28-09-29-57	2008-01-28-11-05-28	1500	103035		99750		-3306.08	SHORT
AMZN	2008-01-31-08-06-10	2008-01-31-09-28-19	1400	96442		92022		-4440.99	SHORT
 

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Quote from DblArrow:

Neke, a profit is a profit.

Might I ask what you used to produce your chart?

Thanks, Make 'em pretty, Chris

The chart is produced in Excel.
 
Weekly Update for week 4 ended 02/09/2008

An OK week, up 5.7K (6%). Not a dramatic move, but just OK as I seek to go green for the year.

Two bad trades reared up their heads. On Monday after hours, I was taught a lesson on how not to bottom-fish. Saw SIRF trading at 12.90 (down from closing price of 16.27) after missing earnings by 4c (28c vs. 32c expected). Reasoning was it was too cheap, with a forwared earnings of more than $1, and down more than 60% from 52-week high. Took a modest position of 2000 shares as I did not see any guidance. Little did I know the guidance would come less than 10 minutes afterward, and my $1 forward earnings promptly vanished. Sold the stock at 10.50, losing 4.8K (Glad I bought only that much, it could easily have been four times that). Did not have the psychological strength to go short thereafter (the stock closed at 7.36 the following day). Lesson: don't pick bottoms based on analysis unless you have ALL the facts.

Wednesday lost 6K following the crowd in RVBD. Saw it at 19.7 after hours, refrained from shorting. Saw it later at 18.7 decided to short. Stopped out in the morning a 19.93 for a 6K loss. Good strategy: poor execution. Made my week with the rebound in stocks on Thursday.

Code:
Balance B/F:                   	    	 94,323
Net Gain for the week 		          5,661
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		 99,984
Number of Trades	            	 16
Number of Profitable Trades    	    	 10

Since Inception of Thread   01/13/2008 - 02/09/2008

Balance B/F:                   		102,615
Net Gain (Less Margin Interest)		 -2,631
------------------------------------------------
Balance C/F:                   		 99,984  (Down 2.6%)
Number of Trades	           	 57
Number of Profitable Trades        	 34

Expected Balance at this time to be on track for Year-End Target : 
			       124,928

Status:			       Behind Target		(Based on adjusted balance before withdrawals)

Top/Bottom Discretionary Trades for the week

TICKER	ENTRY DATE/TIME		EXIT DATE/TIME		QTY	PURCHASE AMT	SOLD AMT	GAINS/LOSS	TYPE

JASO	2008-02-07-10-01-03	2008-02-07-12-00-12	2000	87329		95778.16	8428.11		LONG
SFBNE	2008-02-05-10-02-06	2008-02-05-15-11-44	5000	10950		15000		3954.86		SPY PUT
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SIRF	2008-02-04-16-40-08	2008-02-04-16-59-04	2000	25798		21006		-4812.23	LONG
RVBD	2008-02-06-09-23-47	2008-02-06-09-50-48	5000	99675		93450		-6256.01	SHORT
 

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It seems you are much more conservative than last year.

Don't blame your bad trades. You had a lot more risk exposure last year. Yeah, you lost big ones, but you also made big ones.

This year, you cut down those gamble trades. You don't have many big losers, but you dot have many big winners either(compared to last year).

If you trade like this, you will have much more steady income each week, but overall gain may not be as big as what you had last year. Don't know whether thsi is what you want.

Good luck,
Freewilly
 
Great trading Neke.

The risk and psychological control show what (I believe) what good trading is all about - for anyone who disagrees, I wonder what SocGen thinks about it. :p

While a lot of the posters here really just want a dog and pony show, it's the step-by-step that's going to get the job done and you out of the corporate arena.

GL
 
Quote from freewilly:

It seems you are much more conservative than last year.

Freewilly

Yes, for a start I do not intend to do anything that could cause the balance to come way down from my starting balance (102.6K). Moreover I am still trying to get a feel for some of my rules, and getting used to them. I shall step up my risk tolerance as the account grows to a comfortable level (I said risk tolerance , not foolish unplanned salvos). Ideally I would be pleased to be making 10 quality trades a week, down from the average of nearly 30 I did last year.
 
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