Quote from dozu888:
This is very typical beginner mentality.
Let me give you a couple of cents, since I am in a good mood today.
" a few weeks" means nothing. paper trading means almost nothing.
'determination' and 'necessary work' means almost nothing as well. this is the reason most people on this forum are still endlessly struggling, hoping that someday they might get it.
there is NO short cut in trading... it will take years of observing the market to feel it's breath.
So, save your 7 grand. just trade 10-100 shares of anything... SPY, individual stocks, whatever, doesn't matter.
Notice I say 10-100 shares, you need to trade a size that is big enough for you to feel the emotion, and small enough not to hurt the account.
Now, go get a regular job, make your 35k/year salary.... then, at lunch break or at night, look at a bunch of charts.
SPY, QQQQ, EEM (and/or individual country ETFs, EWZ, EWC, EWA).
Ask yourself -
- How do they follow each other?
- Which is realatively stronger/weaker?
- what is the driving force of the current swing?
- what is the reaction to the last swing?
- is the current swing running out of steam?
- how strong / weak is the current reaction compared to the last swing?
- who are the players in this market? mutual funds, hedgies, individuals?
- what are bulls feeling at this moment? how would a bear feeling at this moment?
- what would happen if market makes the next move? how would bulls/bears react?
- and finally, what are you gonna do about it?
This looks overwhelming in the beginning, but with practice it becomes 2nd nature and you really only need 5 minutes a day to plan / execute your next move.
This is the best chance for a newbie to succeed. It requires some effort, but no need to over sweat it. You need to work it smart.. go with the flow as you identify the flow with a reasonable level of confidence.
You need to experience the swing cycles a few dozen times.. and a few years later you may just get the hang of it.
Looking at the P/L thread, I can't believe so many people throw away golden years of their working life, churning commission for the prop house, while making peanuts everyday... you might as well go flipping burgers. Don't be one of them.
A regular day job takes the pressure off trading, give you cushions when you screw up (inevitably during your early years). Heck, if you just average down during the last bear (by dollar cost averaging), you'd have done better than most of the ETers here by now... assuming you have a regular job to generate funds to do a crude method like DCA.
Trading is not difficult... it takes time, and the right approach, which means understanding of market participants, and participants emotions, and their likely course of actions. Most of the people take the wrong approach. They think they are onto something.... indicators, Gann, Fib, market profile, Elliot wave, blah blah. These so-called traders keep living in a stratosphere and will never succeed.. because all that stuff is just randomness. Don't fall into that trap.