Quote from rickylc:
my interpretation of the same chart. I eliminated the point one you have for the start of the IT as it is too long ago and the channel it would have formed became useless. it can be seen as the green channel on the far left.
i like to base the IT on a quarter or about 65 bars.
Maybe you have hit a home run - it will be interesting to see what it does at around the 21.75 level (if it gets there) - you may get the second BO that Jack refers to:
You have a lot of advance warning for the trade.
filter #1.
filter stocks in short IT's that are having FTT's on dominant traverse of the IT.
Filter #2.
List the stock for monitoring and sort the list by "unsual volume".
When it hits .22 on the list at about !0 to 11, then you have about and hour to enter and then price will break out over several days. The volume will really pick up after the IT channel has been broken.
IT means Intermediate Term
FTT mean Failure To Traverse
dominant traverse means the price movement across the IT in the direction of the IT.
Unusual volume is a calculation where you get the decimal perent of the 65 day average volume as a continuous calculation on a list.
The common term for these kind of trades is called "hitting a home run". Most people have seen them and most people do not know how to anticipate them since two filters are required.
You can hold them long than the three days.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=1332329#post1332329
