SP500 - High Probability predictions for 2016

[recession2016]

I cannot, my edge in oil is reactive not predictive.

so then if you have such an edge in predicting ES, did you predict the bottom in '09?

 

[Autodidact]

so then if you have such an edge in predicting ES, did you predict the bottom in '09?

Traded a different style in 2009, I would not dare predict back then, was more into "trading what I see" and "going with the flow" and mostly daytrading and holding futures for days at most, most of the time closing in afterhours.

In any case, I assure you, new highs this year.

 

[schizo]

No bet huh? Wise choice.

What bet do you have in mind? On what terms? I say the market will take out last year's low and it probably won't take that long.

 

[schizo]

I've already stated elsewhere that there will be a massive selloff this week. We should see Monday's low taken out tomorrow. By the end of the week, we should see 1930-ish on ES. By the end of the month, we should come pretty damn close to the low of last year, wherever that may be.

 

[romik]

SPX is heading towards 1500 area, no new highs until we get there first.

 

[Autodidact]

What bet do you have in mind? On what terms? I say the market will take out last year's low and it probably won't take that long.

My claim is 2015 lows hold in 2016 and we take 2015 highs in 2016.

If you willing to bet against that, we can figure something out that's acceptable for both.

 

[MarketDiver]

My prediction:
1. 2016 will never break the 2015's high, or even touch it.
2. 2016 will likely break the 2015's low.

 

[Autodidact]

My prediction:
1. 2016 will never break the 2015's high, or even touch it.
2. 2016 will likely break the 2015's low.

Did you create a new account just to make that prediction ? lol

 

[romik]

Time will tell. Have you seen what's happening with FX market, especially YEN?

This is GBPYEN

 

[MarketDiver]

Did you create a new account just to make that prediction ? lol

Nope, my account was created last year.