Hey folks,
During the past few months, I have been studying about TA and price action trading. But I am so stuck and can not move on any further. I always have this question in my mind which I can't find a persuasive answer to it. If there is a pattern/ strategy/ edge to consistently beat the market using price action and charts then competition from other traders should make it disappear or at least make it difficult to beat the market after costs. (the edge should self-defeats).
In other words, beating the market using past price data seems too good to be true because if it is not the case then that would be very easy for everyone to do the same. It is very reasonable to believe that the massive competition should eventually make any advantage/ edge self-defeat and stop working. So, what am I missing here guys ?
Sorry for my average English. And thanks in advance
Your perception on this is generally correct. You can't just find some pattern or anomaly in markets and just consistently exploit it, as you need to assume everyone else can and will. You need to accept this premise and then think about situations and techniques that might work in spite of this.
Anything you can program into an algorithym, any technicsl indicators calculated by comuputer are unlikely to provide a competitive edge. Any single pattern or price assessment unlikely. Daily and other small timeframes more exposed to noise or direct manipulations of price.
What can work is discretionary chart reading not automated as it relies on individual skill and training. Using combinations of TA to interpret direction, e.g. combined price, pattern, time techniques to read the chart and seek confirmation. Use longer timeframes and weekly and monthly charts avoids the noise and gives more reliable signals.
