$ Silver $

Ideally silver should close back over 14.50-60 in order to confirm a reversal to the downtrend from the 16.20 high. Once this barrier is clear, then I imagine that silver will begin to move very quickly again to challenge the 16 print...
 
yipeee ... my "junk silver" ( USA 90 % and 40 % silver ) coins are up today nice !

of course I should have hedged some of my physical when silver
was $15.75-16.25 a month ago

:(
 
Quote from Realist:

Ideally silver should close back over 14.50-60 in order to confirm a reversal to the downtrend from the 16.20 high. Once this barrier is clear, then I imagine that silver will begin to move very quickly again to challenge the 16 print...

12/10: Confirmed...
 
Quite a powerful down-move in silver last 24 h. This could be a wash-out of weak hands, of course, but not quite happy with gold testing the lower trend-line in it's - what is it called in english - pennant(?) - formation.

I'm taking note again on how vulnerable leverage-positions are if you get carried away to early and scale up at the wrong time (given a medium to long term time horizon, that is). Luckily I avoided this in silver, though I at one point hold a bit too much gold.
 
Have not learned how to post charts on this forum yet, but can give you an updated opinion.

Deep test of resistance in silver appears to have been a wash-out, as suggested above.

Break above 15 was the confirmation I was looking for, and used to scale up. Now trailing - last updated trailing stop at 15 (approx.), still in effect. May adjust it after todays action.

Gold - the leader broke out of its pennant formation after a similar deep test of the trend line, looking strong as ATH was taken out directly.

I am aware of certain alternative technical theories which could indicate a butterfly top in gold, however the first (1,272) is now irrelevant given todays action. The last area to be aware of is approx 880. Personally, I do not rate them very high in terms of probability, and am happy to trail my positions according to classical TA.
 
All I know is when I woke up this morning, I read 2 or 3 separate articles by "people in the know" saying that the commodities run was over and to sell gold. Coincidence?
 
Quote from sprstpd:

All I know is when I woke up this morning, I read 2 or 3 separate articles by "people in the know" saying that the commodities run was over and to sell gold. Coincidence?

I looked at charts last night and saw a major buy formation, never listen to anyone, trade what YOU see. :)
 
any silver's bears last stand was this am in european trade

same thing happened a few weeks ago or months ago

a fierce rally up to around the $16.25 level basis the most
active futures contract then ... whammo ... back under $16.00

perhaps the next time $16.00 will stick ...

:p
 
Back
Top