It might not whether there is an offical shutdown or not for the economy to continue to feel Coronavirus repercussions. Unless there is such a thing as free money, of course. Some people are concerned about Covid-19, some are not. Some are wearing PPE, some are not. If there is an official shutdown, spending drops and jobs are lost, at least temporarily. If there is not an offical shutdown, those people who are concerned about Covid-19 will still take defensive action until they change their opinions or Covid-19 no longer poses a threat either by eradication or equally unlikely, a highly effective vaccine is developed.
Defensive action to Covid-19 involves avoiding crowds. Crowds in nightclubs, restaurants, theaters, airplanes, cruiseships, sporting events, healthclubs, and malls pose a concern to some because of those people who refuse to wear a mask. The preceeding represents a lot of potential business lost by significant number of service oriented companies because of people who don’t feel safe.
Covid-19 can remain viable on various surfaces such as door handles, gasoline dispenser handles, silverware, plates, tables, faucet handles, etc. for hours. Need I go into detail of people who rinse their hands in a public restroom for a couple of seconds and then use the air dryer? Talk about an effective bioweapon platform. I have yet to see anybody wear gloves who was not using them specifically for a work related task in my travels around the country. Edit: Think about all the foods Americans eat with their hands such as sandwiches, fries, potato chips, etc.
If it is true that people who catch Coronavirus can still be reinfected after a few months, it will never go away until people globally consistently wear PPE. Those countries in Asia will soon see a second or third wave of infection because of travel from infected countries unless they require and consistently enforce PPE. If Asians can learn to wear PPE, why can’t we? After all, we will pay for this pandemic one way or another. Whether it is through, say, a month of PPE inconvenience, The drip drip of continued lost business because of crowd avoidence, or the economic sledgehammer of a mandatory shutdown.
Most governmental and corporate systems have checks and balances. So does nature, it seems.