Selling Calls To Take Advantage of SPY Drop to 82 By 18-Sep

Chances SPY Will Drop To 82 By Mid September

  • Virtually Impossible

    Votes: 6 8.0%
  • Unlikely

    Votes: 8 10.7%
  • Possible

    Votes: 13 17.3%
  • Likely

    Votes: 25 33.3%
  • Sure Thing

    Votes: 16 21.3%
  • Yet Another Fool Ready To Part With His $$

    Votes: 7 9.3%

  • Total voters
    75
added 4x Sep 84 Puts. plan to add 2x more but maybe not today. So far the game plan is:

1) create -12x/-12x July Puts/Calls and +12x Sep Puts (long) to create a core position with a defined downside risk.
2) incrementally (e.g. 2x at a time) add/remove July Puts or Calls trying to catch market swings. This will temporarily unbalance the position somewhat but the change in risk will be small.

I am assuming 30K account for these trades (the actual account is somewhat larger but it contains other independent positions). The max loss i am willing to incur at this point is ~8K (~2x gains from June strangles). No stops are used, instead the position is actively managed depending on the market behavior.
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covered 4x 92 Calls (+ $652 realized). total realized for today + $1,278. what remains seems to be a quite stable position market-direction-wise.

EOD update:
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Have Fun on 4th of July! (for those who celebrate)
 

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