Sarah Palin says she can defeat President Obama

[Range Rover]

Quote from Maverick74:

Nope. Back to what I said, what hurt Hillary was her support of the Iraq war which is exactly the reason why progressives chose Obama over her. Dean on the other hand was very vocally against the Iraq War and supports single payer health care. Dean is the man. If you are a true progressive, not a ditto head liberal, but a real progressive, you want Dean in 2012, not Hillary, not Obama.

100 % correct

 

[dinn13]

Quote from Ghost of Cutten:

Why not bet already? It's not like there is any other Republican candidate with more chance than Palin. Cmon, who else is out there who could get the nomination? Romney? LOL. No matter which no-hoper they pick, they'll be outclassed in the debates and/or speeches by Obama.

Well at the moment it's trading at 19 for her to win the nomination and you're looking at a potential long holding period with decent volatility until you can realize the gains.

So if there's a big pop in that contract to like the 40's i'd probably bet against it. But the real trade I want is to bet against her winning the presidency after she wins the nomination cause at that point it would be a new contract with a much shorter lifespan. And I would imagine it would at least for a time be trading in the 50's at which point I would go massively short. I think I'd just throw caution and any form of risk management to the wind and just pile on.

 

[Daal]

Carter and Bush senior lost their elections partly due the bad economy(One could argue Mccain as well). It does look like a coinflip at this point