If he goes home with his tail between his legs I think mostly everyone will call that a victory.
What’s your angle here? That imposing preemptive sanctions would keep him at bay into the foreseeable future? I don’t know about that. Tricky tightrope to walk if that’s it.
I am still thinking about it.
Originally, I thought "well the fucker is playing games and moving troops around to rattle his neighbors to get attention on some issues and that is just a common fact of life in international affairs so be pissed and just deal with it."
On the other hand, this is a pretty advanced life threatening operation that has not only rattled a good part of the world but has demolished Ukraine's economy or taken it down several major notches. Then, along the way, I learned/read that we have treaties - maybe we is Nato- with Russia whereby they and we can have training excercises so-called but there are separate notification requirements for various defined levels of troop movement. And Russia has just ignored all of them and complied with precisely none. That ain't right. And they would have a valid issue if we did the same. So there is that for me, because that seems like a valid peacekeeping agreement and I dont like the fucker just circumventing that and then going home as though nothing has happened and "maybe I will do it again next month if I feel like it just to get a rise out of you and test the world for fun again."
Having said that, I probably would not be a stickler on it if we could avoid war, but the difference for me compared to the more dovish, is that that little stunt would go into the memory bank for me and next time you would regret it until you hurt. I would sanction him very early on just for unannounced troop movements that are not in compliance with existing treaties.
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