You're kidding, right? He isn't a good man? Com'on, that's a little over the top. And you're worried about his foreign policy plan. What has Obama done for us besides watch the ME blow up worse than it's ever been? Obama is the kind of guy who would be saying, can't we talk about this, as the enemy is shoving a bayonet through him.
Romney Looks Like the Next Pres
- Thread starter jem
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You're kidding, right? He isn't a good man? Com'on, that's a little over the top. And you're worried about his foreign policy plan. What has Obama done for us besides watch the ME blow up worse than it's ever been? Obama is the kind of guy who would be saying, can't we talk about this, as the enemy is shoving a bayonet through him.
So is four more years of Obama
not for me it's not
Could it be any worse than Obama's?
Girly man pot head kicking ass? Not likely but anything is possible I suppose
And Obama is a misguided narcissistic idiot who is in over his head.
Because he wasn't a pot head, he doesn't consort with domestic terrorists or because he's more financially successful than you or I?
POLLSTER: I'm Not Polling Three Big Swing States Anymore, Because Mitt Romney Has Them In The Bag
David Paleologos, the director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, dropped a bombshell on The O'Reilly Factor last night. He told Bill O'Reilly that the center would not be polling in the three key swing states of North Carolina, Florida and Virginia, because it would not be a prudent use of resources.
Why? Because Paleologos said Republican nominee Mitt Romney has all three states in the bag.
âIn places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, weâve already painted those red. Weâre not polling any of those states again," he said. "Weâre focusing on the remaining states.â
"Let me stop you there. You're convinced that Florida, North Carolina and Virginia are going to go for Romney?" O'Reilly said, rather shell-shocked. That's probably because Obama still has a very slight edge in the Real Clear Politics average of Virginia polling, and because he trails by just 0.7 points and 3 points, respectively, in Florida and North Carolina.
Paleologos explained that Obama was not in a good spot before his consensus loss in the debate, which has spiked Romney in polling ever since. Suffolk's poll found Obama up 46-44 in the state, and Paleologos said it would be difficult for Obama to climb to 50 percent now.
Suffolk's recent poll of Florida before the debate found almost the same type of situation â Obama led only 46-43. Suffolk, however, has not yet polled North Carolina during the 2012 cycle.
Paleologos said he doesn't see the effect in "lean Obama" states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin yet, though other polling agencies have found races tightening there.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/suff...nia-florida-nc-election-2012-10#ixzz28uPdyoSr
David Paleologos, the director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, dropped a bombshell on The O'Reilly Factor last night. He told Bill O'Reilly that the center would not be polling in the three key swing states of North Carolina, Florida and Virginia, because it would not be a prudent use of resources.
Why? Because Paleologos said Republican nominee Mitt Romney has all three states in the bag.
âIn places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, weâve already painted those red. Weâre not polling any of those states again," he said. "Weâre focusing on the remaining states.â
"Let me stop you there. You're convinced that Florida, North Carolina and Virginia are going to go for Romney?" O'Reilly said, rather shell-shocked. That's probably because Obama still has a very slight edge in the Real Clear Politics average of Virginia polling, and because he trails by just 0.7 points and 3 points, respectively, in Florida and North Carolina.
Paleologos explained that Obama was not in a good spot before his consensus loss in the debate, which has spiked Romney in polling ever since. Suffolk's poll found Obama up 46-44 in the state, and Paleologos said it would be difficult for Obama to climb to 50 percent now.
Suffolk's recent poll of Florida before the debate found almost the same type of situation â Obama led only 46-43. Suffolk, however, has not yet polled North Carolina during the 2012 cycle.
Paleologos said he doesn't see the effect in "lean Obama" states like Pennsylvania and Wisconsin yet, though other polling agencies have found races tightening there.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/suff...nia-florida-nc-election-2012-10#ixzz28uPdyoSr
That's interesting. Here is a statement on the University website about this guys track record.
Suffolk University Political Research Center director David Paleologos is the author of a leading predictor model that has a 96% record of accuracy in predicting outcomes.
http://www.suffolk.edu/research/32761.html
Suffolk University Political Research Center director David Paleologos is the author of a leading predictor model that has a 96% record of accuracy in predicting outcomes.
http://www.suffolk.edu/research/32761.html
http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/10/romney-up-huge-with-independents.html
Fueling his current polling surge, Mitt Romney's numbers with indies are just getting remarkably good.
a. IBD/ITP poll released today: Romney 52% Obama 34%.
b. Pew poll, released yesterday: Romney 46% Obama 42%.
c. Politico/GW poll, released yesterday: Romney 51% Obama 35%.
d. CNN, released last week: Romney 49% Obama 41%.
e. National Journal, released October 3: Romney 49% Obama 41%.
Now having said that, Romney has done well this entire cycle with independents, but not enough to overcome turnout models that suggested much, much higher Democratic turnout.
But now he's killing it so soundly that it's enough to overcome higher Democratic turnout. In fact, in ARG's poll of Ohio today, Dems are sampled at +9% over Republicans, but Romney wins indies by 20%, which is enough to inch ahead, overall, 48%-47%.
Fueling his current polling surge, Mitt Romney's numbers with indies are just getting remarkably good.
a. IBD/ITP poll released today: Romney 52% Obama 34%.
b. Pew poll, released yesterday: Romney 46% Obama 42%.
c. Politico/GW poll, released yesterday: Romney 51% Obama 35%.
d. CNN, released last week: Romney 49% Obama 41%.
e. National Journal, released October 3: Romney 49% Obama 41%.
Now having said that, Romney has done well this entire cycle with independents, but not enough to overcome turnout models that suggested much, much higher Democratic turnout.
But now he's killing it so soundly that it's enough to overcome higher Democratic turnout. In fact, in ARG's poll of Ohio today, Dems are sampled at +9% over Republicans, but Romney wins indies by 20%, which is enough to inch ahead, overall, 48%-47%.
Great find.
In other words... if you unskew the polls - Obama has no chance in those states....
In fact if you unskew the polls.... in other words if you go with a close to even turnout in the swing states.... which is historically accurate for most of them, that is why they are swing states...
That Romney is now killing it with Independents... means Romney is now killing it.
Which is why the pollster is leaving.
In other words... if you unskew the polls - Obama has no chance in those states....
In fact if you unskew the polls.... in other words if you go with a close to even turnout in the swing states.... which is historically accurate for most of them, that is why they are swing states...
That Romney is now killing it with Independents... means Romney is now killing it.
Which is why the pollster is leaving.
