Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

jem · Sep 25, 2012

typical leftist crap... attack the messenger when you can't engage in the facts.

1. Do undecideds break against the incumbent or not.

2. The funny thing about your critique is that no one could be more wrong
than any of the economists who have supported obamanomics like Krugman and Goolsbee and the leftist media who supported the idea the way to fix a debt problem is more debt.

Quote from Free Thinker:

dick morris? you and him have a lot in common. both wrong about just about everything:

Is Dick Morris the world's worst political pundit?

On this evidence, the answer is a clear and unambiguous yes!
We all make silly statements. We all make poor predictions. Indeed most Washington pundits are right as often as they are wrong. One Washington prognosticator, however, stands above the rest.

Step up, Dick Morris.

Morris was at one time a top political operative. From his guiding of now Congressman Jerry Nadler's student government campaign to his work for Bill Clinton, Morris was a winner. He was running another Bill Clinton campaign, in 1996, when he found himself embroiled in a sex scandal.

That imbroglio marked a turning point. Morris was no longer to work for Clinton. Instead, he reinvented himself as a writer and television pundit. It is this work that we celebrate here today.

Morris' ability to make statements and predictions that are often so, so wrong is exceptional. He has been called the "worst pundit in America". The more cynical among us might argue that the word "America" should be replaced with "world". Indeed, to recall all of Morris's spectacular failures would require more space than Santa is allotted for his Christmas list.

Instead, I bring you ten fun and exciting Dick Morris audios, images, videos (in chronological order). Most of these are forecasts, hilarious for just how wrong they were. I cannot guarantee them as the top ten of all time: there are just too many Dick Morris moments from which to choose, so please feel free to note any choices that I've omitted in the discussion thread.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/aug/08/is-dick-morris-worlds-worst-political-pundit

Free Thinker · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from jem:

1. Do undecideds break against the incumbent or not. probably not. they have to decide if they hate a black man or a morman worse. if they cant decide they may just stay home.

2. The funny thing about your critique is that no one could be more wrong
than any of the economists who have supported obamanomics like Krugman and Goolsbee and the leftist media who supported the idea the way to fix a debt problem is more debt.

i will take them over you many times debunked theory that cutting taxes from here will increase revenue and jumpstart the economy.
under obama the market is back, housing is comming back,business is very profitable,auto sales are back,airline are in the black,retirement plans have been restored,the wars are winding down, what does your side have to offer except bush 2?
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=249997

jem · Sep 25, 2012

more leftist lies...

how can you debunk cutting taxes... when

kennedy cut taxes- revenues went up
reagan cut taxes - revenues went up
bush cut taxes - reveneues went up

and Keynes himself said when in a recession you cut taxes and grow you way out.

Quote from Free Thinker:

i will take them over you many times debunked theory that cutting taxes from here will increase revenue and jumpstart the economy.
under obama the market is back, housing is comming back,business is very profitable,auto sales are back,airline are in the black,retirement plans have been restored,the wars are winding down, what does your side have to offer except bush 2?
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=249997

AK Forty Seven · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from jem:

http://www.dickmorris.com/why-the-polls-under-state-romney-vote/#more-9789

1. paragraph 1... restates my argument about the 2008 electorate being the wrong template for the polls...

2. Almost all of the published polls show Obama getting less than 50% of the vote and less than 50% job approval. A majority of the voters either support Romney or are undecided in almost every poll.
But the fact is that the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent. In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply â and unanimously â for the challenger.
An undecided voter has really decided not to back the incumbent. He just wonât focus on the race until later in the game.
So, when the published poll shows Obama ahead by, say, 48-45, heâs really probably losing by 52-48!
Add these two factors together and the polls that are out there are all misleading. Any professional pollster (those consultants hired by candidates not by media outlets) would publish two findings for each poll â one using 2004 turnout modeling and the other using 2008 modeling. This would indicate just how dependent on an unusually high turnout of his base the Obama camp really is.

The GOP will take the Senate in 2010

http://thehill.com/opinion/columnists/dick-morris/90873-gop-will-win-house-senate

MORRIS: GOP will win House, Senate
By Dick Morris - 04/06/10

" Republicans will gain more than 50 House seats and at least 10 in the Senate, enough to take control in both chambers. Thatâs reality."-Dick Morris

A week before 2008 election day dick said undecideds would break for McCain and Obama would get less then 50 % of the vote.
http://www.dickmorris.com/undecideds-should-break-for-mccain/

Hilary will win the nomination

http://www.dickmorris.com/how-clinton-will-win-the-nomination-by-losing-south-carolina/

Brass · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/t6B06ytNq-g" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Ever the dandy, Morris sports his favorite blouse.

mrbill · Sep 25, 2012

When things look good, or good things are said about the left, then the right says it's because of the lame stream media, polling errors, bumper stickers and all that nonsense. Now they bring on Dick Morris, and accuse you of trashing the messenger. OK.

Ricter · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from jem:

more leftist lies...

how can you debunk cutting taxes... when

kennedy cut taxes- revenues went up
reagan cut taxes - revenues went up
bush cut taxes - reveneues went up

and Keynes himself said when in a recession you cut taxes and grow you way out.

Keynes said cut taxes, but on who?

Revenues rose because of other variables in play, which you previously admitted. The other major variable is, government spending! Which Keynes also, in fact primarily, advocated. Reagan did it, "Morning in America", thanks to massive government war machine spending. Also doubled our foreign debt and turned us, for the first time, into a debtor nation.

AK Forty Seven · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from jem:

1. Do undecideds break against the incumbent or not.

IIRC That is based on a flawed study on Congress races,not Presidential races

I doubt incumbent presidents would get re elected 70 % of the time if undecideds broke against the incumbent

AK Forty Seven · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from mrbill:

When things look good, or good things are said about the left, then the right says it's because of the lame stream media, polling errors, bumper stickers and all that nonsense. Now they bring on Dick Morris, and accuse you of trashing the messenger. OK.

Dick Morris is worse then Rasmussen

Free Thinker · Sep 25, 2012

Quote from jem:

more leftist lies...

how can you debunk cutting taxes... when

kennedy cut taxes- revenues went up
reagan cut taxes - revenues went up
bush cut taxes - reveneues went up

and Keynes himself said when in a recession you cut taxes and grow you way out.

Do Personal Income Tax Cuts Foster Growth? Again, No

Martin Feldstein and Doug Elmendorf discovered something surprising in 1989. So much so that when they presented it to a National Bureau of Economic Research conference, they titled their paper (PDF) âBudget Deficits, Tax Incentives and Inflation: A Surprising Lesson From the 1983-1984 Recovery.â Feldstein had been Ronald Reaganâs chief economic adviser during that recovery; Elmendorf now runs the Congressional Budget Office. In 1989, they were surprised to read in their own data that the recovery that began in 1983 had been caused mainly by an expansionary monetary policy. (To a lesser extent, it had come from growth in business investment after changes to corporate taxes in 1981.) Feldstein and Elmendorf pointed out that the recovery had not been caused, as was popularly thought at the time, by reductions in the personal income tax rate.

http://mobile.businessweek.com/arti...ULSE&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=pulsenews