I dont know betfairs record but every time I look at them their odds are in line with intrade which would give them one of the best records in political predictions
I dont know betfairs record but every time I look at them their odds are in line with intrade which would give them one of the best records in political predictions
You have to give a lot more personal information to intrade and its harder to make deposits.I've read that because of possible legalities /intrade being forced to give info to The IRS some choose betfair
NATE SILVER: Obama's Odds Of Winning Have Now Blown Through 80%
Obama's odds of winning re-election have now hit their highest level ever, according to New York Times polling guru Nate Silver.
Obama's lead on betting markets Intrade and Betfair has also continued to increase.
These assessments come despite the continued release of some national polls, namely Gallup, that look good for Romney. The difference between the national polls and the betting markets, some polling experts say, is that the national polls focus on the popular vote, whereas Silver's odds focus on state-by-state polls aimed at determining the winner of the electoral college and, with it, the Presidency. http://www.businessinsider.com/nate-silver-election-odds-2012-10-d