Romney Looks Like the Next Pres

[Navin Johnson]

The race for the presidency remains tight. Obama cannot get close to 50% in the polls below or the RCP average of polls. This is bad news for an incumbent. Obama's lead in the RCP average of polls has shrunk to 1.4%.

Romney leads Obama in the Gallup poll of registered voters (6/4 - 6/10):

Romney 46%, Obama 45%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/150743/Obama-Romney.aspx


Romney leads Obama in the Rasmussen tracking poll of likely voters (6/8 - 6/10):

Romney 47%, Obama 44%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ministration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

These are the two most credible national tracking polls.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Obama currently leading in 5 out of 7 polls

 

[jem]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

President Obama leading in 4 of the 5 most recent polls

You were touting the top 5 polls recently. now its 7?


Romney leads in two most recent

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

Last week you were looking at top 5. Now its top 7?

I post whatever RCP has in the top poll box .I dont look for diffrent numbers to put obama in the lead

 

[jem]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

I post whatever RCP has in the top poll box .I dont look for diffrent numbers to put obama in the lead

And it baloney because they are manipulating which polls they are looking at to keep Obama in lead.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

And it baloney because they are manipulating which polls they are looking at to keep Obama in lead.

If they wanted to manipulate the polls for Obama they would throw out the highly biased and inaccurate Rasmussen poll

 

[jem]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

If they wanted to manipulate the polls for Obama they would throw out the highly biased and inaccurate Rasmussen poll

its getting to you isn't it. no matter how you spin it, Obama is losing if your polls attempt to model the current reality of more republicans than dems.

those exit polls most have been really scary to those who still think obama should manage this economy for 4 more years.

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from jem:

its getting to you isn't it. no matter how you spin it, Obama is losing if your polls attempt to model the current reality of more republicans than dems.

Not getting to me at all because there are more dems the repubs








Dec 2011 USA today


http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/story/2011-12-22/voters-political-parties/52171688/1



Registered Democrats still dominate the political playing field with more than 42 million voters, compared to 30 million Republicans and 24 million independents







http://elkodaily.com/democrats-outp...cle_a53e09de-a78b-11e1-ae8e-001a4bcf887a.html




Democrats outpace GOP in voter registrations


CARSON CITY (AP) — Nevada Democrats outpaced Republicans in new voter registrations leading up to the state primary.

The secretary of state's office Friday reports that from May 1 through May 22 when primary registration closed, Democrats registered 4,322 active voters, compared with 2,254 registered by Republicans. The number of active registered nonpartisans increased by 2,544 during the same time period.

Statewide, Democrats now hold a 38,792 voter advantage over Republicans. But the gap is far less than the 100,000 voter edge Democrats had going into the 2008 general election.







http://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/state/gop-closes-in-on-democrats-in-florida-voter-2107649.html

Jan. 17, 2012


Figures released by the Division of Elections today show Florida has 11.2 million voters, with 40.5 percent registered as Democrats and about 36.2 percent as Republicans. The gap of 4.3 percentage points between Democratic and Republican registrations compares to a 5.8-point gap that favored Democrats heading into the 2008 presidential election.







http://www.pagop.org/2012/01/as-parties-lose-voters-republicans-chip-away-at-democrats-advantage/


Pennsylvania-January 20th, 2012


In November 2006, Democrats held a roughly 600,000-voter edge with 3.9 million registered voters to the Republicans’ 3.3 million. The number now stands at 4.1 million Democrats to 3 million Republicans.

The 2012 election will come down to turnout, he said. With a margin that still tops 1.1 million, Democrats have a huge advantage if they can motivate those voters to show up at the polls. But by narrowing that advantage, Republicans put more pressure on the turnout effort, he said.

 

[Max E.]

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Not getting to me at all because there are more dems the repubs

So do you atleast concede the fact that the polls over the last 6 months have gotten progressively worse for Obama?

 

[AK Forty Seven]

Quote from Max E. Pad:

So do you atleast concede the fact that the polls over the last 6 months have gotten progressively worse for Obama?

I wouldn't say 6 months I would say since Romney was the clear nominee but that was expected from both sides.The right were saying Romney would jump ahead of Obama by 5 points when he became the nominee and that hasn't happened.Obama is doing much better against Romney then Bush was doing against Kerry