Romney Has 5 Point Lead

Quote from Lucrum:

What's ridiculous about the truth?

Nothing, you might consider it sometime. I see your cute little one liners but nothing of substance. Typical I guess.
 
Quote from mrbill:

Nothing, you might consider it sometime. I see your cute little one liners but nothing of substance. Typical I guess.

How much truth and substance do I need to post to meet with your approval?


Quote from Lucrum:
07-29-12 03:22 PM
Myth: Most Americans favor gun control
Fact: Few “surveys” conducted in this country on the subject of gun control are unbiased. Professional survey designers have criticized both Harris and Gallup gun surveys for their construction – that the surveys have been designed to reach a desired conclusion.

Poll: Cause of Gun Volence

The way parents raise their children
45%
Popular culture
26%
Availability of guns
21%
Other
6%
No opinion
2%
Fact: Americans believe that parents and popular culture are more responsible for violence in America than firearms.
Fact: 52% of Americans in 2006 did not believe more gun control is needed.
Fact: Only 39% believe stricter gun control is needed, down from 43% in an earlier poll

Fact: A 1999 survey by CBS (hardly a pro gun organization) found these responses:
• Only 14% of Americans believe that gun control can prevent violence with guns.
• 56% of people said enforcement of existing laws is the better way to reduce violent crime than new gun control laws.
• Only 4% said gun control should be a top issue for the government.
Fact: A well-constructed survey by Time Magazine showed some interesting results. From 33,202 adult Americans surveyed in 1998:

Should the U.S. have stricter gun control laws?
Yes 6.73%
No 92.25%
Do you believe that allowing people to carry concealed weapons reduces crime?
Yes 92.22%
No 7.76%
Do you believe that U.S. cities should sue gun manufacturers to recoup money spent dealing with gun-related crime?
Yes 1.96%
No 98.01%

How would you rate the effectiveness of the Brady Bill and the “assault weapons” ban in preventing the illegal use and distribution of guns?
0.52% Very effective
3.79% Somewhat effective
6.19% Somewhat ineffective
87.27% Not at all effective
2.23% Don't know




ADOLF HITLER
“The most foolish mistake we could possibly make would be to allow the subject races to possess arms. History shows that all conquerors who have allowed their subject races to carry arms have prepared their own downfall by so doing.”
 
Quote from LEAPup:

Zero doubt on my end Romney will take it. The spread will be wider than the 24hr media is showing IMO, as well.

I still have some $$ left for bets. Jem and I have $200 to our charity of choice, how much would you like. $100 minimum.

As long as Intrade is double digits, I don't mind at all. Heck, even if Romney wins by some outside chance, or a as they say, a slightly whiter version of Obama, I don't care. But with all the odds in my favor, may as well shear some sheep.
 
Quote from Eight:

If memory serves, Rasmussen had McCain winning right up until the real poll.

Nope. Rasmussen actually not only had Obama but had the closest call on the popular vote.

2008

According to Politico, "Rasmussen’s final poll of the 2008 general election — showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent — closely mirrored the election’s outcome."[39] In reference to the 2008 presidential election, a Talking Points Memo article said, "Rasmussen's final polls had Obama ahead 52%-46%, which was nearly identical to Obama's final margin of 53%-46%, and made him one of the most accurate pollsters out there."[40]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports
 
Quote from Eight:

If memory serves, Rasmussen had McCain winning right up until the real poll.

Rasmussen has time and time again been the most accurate pollster.
 
Quote from wildchild:

Rasmussen has time and time again been the most accurate pollster.


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...rate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/



Rasmussen Polls Were Biased and Inaccurate




Every election cycle has its winners and losers: not just the among the candidates, but also the pollsters.

On Tuesday, polls conducted by the firm Rasmussen Reports — which released more than 100 surveys in the final three weeks of the campaign, including some commissioned under a subsidiary on behalf of Fox News — badly missed the margin in many states, and also exhibited a considerable bias toward Republican candidates.


The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.













This is a sample of Rasmussens accuracy months before an election.In December Intrade and most polls had Romney winning the GOP nomination,Rasmussen had Newt by +21


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