Incumbents who lose.
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Incumbents who win are usually net positive right now
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We'll know with some pretty good odds next year at the 6 month before the election point.No president who had a disapproval higher than approval rating at that point has won reelection since polling begin.
Nothing unusual there, Biden started lower and following similar patterns as his predecessors, what matters is his opponent who is gonna be the lunatic or the anti-abortion bully. Seeing the contrast will bump up the approval rating as it always does.