Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:
I've been short for the past 60 SPX points (and long dollars) and I'm close to throwing in the towel.
Bottom line: Despite all the bearish bullshit you post, the economy is doing 10 times better than any of us bears from 2007 could have imagined.
Taking cues from bloggers and the media is death-they have a self invested bear slant.
Cases in point: There has been story after story about the NFL maybe needing to soften their blackout policy on televised non-sellouts. The reality? ONE GAME has been blacked out the first two weeks.
Another: "Ghost buildings" in Miami. The dirty unpublished secret? Around 75% of those units have sold since July 1 and not for pennies on the dollar but for only 35-50% off. In L.A. a troubled downtown loft developer went to auction last weekend and sold EVERY UNIT with only a few going cheap. From what I hear there was a buying frenzy at the end of the sale from locked out buyers. Funny but I'm yet to see that story ANYWHERE but in the L.A. media.
Like a few others, I too don't know ONE PERSON who is unemployed. And the ones I know who're on the edge were on the edge in the best of times like 2006, 1999 etc.
Brazil is like 75% of the way back to the highs. Care to guess the unemployment rate there? Higher than even Detroit lol. Just like 15% joblessness in Michigan doesn't stop 80k people from jamming Ford Field, tent cities in Brazil don't effect the millions of bourgeois working, shopping and spending in Sao Paulo.
This is haves vs. have nots and I hate to say it but the global markets have discounted the lack of purchasing power of the have nots for years now.
A Mexican construction worker being unemployed in San Diego is not news. A factory worker in Ohio being laid off is not news. Banks with unsold inventory is not news. NEWS would be a 60k a year executive assistant at a law firm being fired. It ain't happening. Until it does your bear articles are nothing more than still in Q1 hysteria.
And btw: A mod told me that you've personally blown out more short selling ET'ers on this board than anyone.