Revisiting Acrary

In light of the ever present ET threads regarding edge, trading success, etc, I wanted to share something that I feel cuts right through to the heart of the matter. Am interested in your take regarding this.

The following is Acrary's distillation from decades of market experience:

...

I think he should write up a book. I will buy one copy for sure.
 
The guy lives in a $200k home in Lincoln, NE. Another guru bites the dust. Sorry to burst your bubble, but it's material as all we have is capital to gauge success in this business.

Haha..pretty sad for a master trader.
 
I would trade 100% strategic and 0% tactical. By this, I mean I would diversify simple trading styles like trend, countertrend and rangebound over time and markets. I wasted too much time and effort on when to buy and when to sell. My time would've been better served asking; "should I be long, short, or flat?", for the simple strategies in multiple timeframes and markets.
Rather than compounding I would add more timeframes or markets to build the account while continually lowering the overall risk.


Acrary

There are many lessons in the above paragraph. I wanted to reflect on three of them.

1. Instead of diversifying via simultaneous long/short strategies, diversify via 'market character', i.e. Range Bound, Trend. These two can be further classified to get more precision. The big advantage of doing so is that while long/short reduces volatility by reducing overall profits, diversifying by market character can actually increase profitability (no hedging cost), while keeping volatility down as well.

2. Instead of spending valuable research time hunting for new 'edges' within limited markets, one could spend the time characterizing a vast number of markets and then applying simple strategies once compelling opportunities present themselves.

3. Diversifying across 'time periods' further reduces net volatility, while developing the trader's skill set to enter at the right time instead of waiting for some arbitrary 'bar interval' to signal confirmation.
 
If I recall there was a poster here named marketsurfer who made a Gann channel out of two straight horizontal lines. It worked nicely in high volatility environments.

But surfy needed 2 straight lines, they only need one and it works in all environments.
 
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