Apex, the $430 was repaid by Bennet, but to do so, he used a entity controlled by himself to borrow from Refco. Ran that money through Liberty , to whom he gave a rate spread, and then repaid the money to Refco with money borrowed from Refco.
My thought is that he was attempting to wipe out a personal liability and create an additional liability in an entity where he could shield himself personally. Of course this is naive when it amounts to fraud. Additionally, the loan was collateralized with Refco stock -- whose value at this point is dubious.
So, in effect there is still a $430 MM outstanding -- it just rests with Bennett's entity and not himself.
Unfortunately, earlier in the week, this would have resulted in a simple 25% loss of market cap. Now that things are shut down indefinitely, it could mean the demise of the company as loans are called in, etc. This is the very type of self-reinforcing cycle that Soros talks about in the Alchemy of Finance. The greatest thing of value at Refco are the customers -- unfortunately with these suspensions etc, using Refco will be akin to flying Valujet after the Everglades crash -- if Refco even survives, it will probably be safer than ever before, but the bad taste in everyones mouth will make customers flee.
APPENDED: I am also reading that the amount owed by Bennett could be as much as $545
My thought is that he was attempting to wipe out a personal liability and create an additional liability in an entity where he could shield himself personally. Of course this is naive when it amounts to fraud. Additionally, the loan was collateralized with Refco stock -- whose value at this point is dubious.
So, in effect there is still a $430 MM outstanding -- it just rests with Bennett's entity and not himself.
Unfortunately, earlier in the week, this would have resulted in a simple 25% loss of market cap. Now that things are shut down indefinitely, it could mean the demise of the company as loans are called in, etc. This is the very type of self-reinforcing cycle that Soros talks about in the Alchemy of Finance. The greatest thing of value at Refco are the customers -- unfortunately with these suspensions etc, using Refco will be akin to flying Valujet after the Everglades crash -- if Refco even survives, it will probably be safer than ever before, but the bad taste in everyones mouth will make customers flee.
APPENDED: I am also reading that the amount owed by Bennett could be as much as $545