Poll: Your mid-term projections

[notagain]

Goal is 2/3 Republican majority in both houses by 2024.
The entire executive branch has to be overhauled.
The Judicial branch is weak, did nothing to check the out of control Dems.
Obama flooded the military with yes men.

 

[KCalhoun]

Goal is 2/3 Republican majority in both houses by 2024.
The entire executive branch has to be overhauled.
The Judicial branch is weak, did nothing to check the out of control Dems.
Obama flooded the military with yes men.

Let's hope so, democrats are a clusterfk

 

[UsualName]

Pubs are up for the Senate now.

This is contrary to where I was a month ago.

I still think Hershel Walker is looking shaky and still think that Fetterman might be in a better place even if he does not deserve it, just because there are so many democrats who just want a D in there.

But the pubs will pick up a seat or two from one of the states that I was not even looking at a month ago. ie. AZ, NV, NH, and outside, outside, outside chance in Washington State.

The dems got lucky with the abortion gift from the court but it has lost its staying power. Note that I did not say it is not important, but it just is not the big driver that it was.

Pubs are going to take the House of course.

I think NV is the most likely of your picks but if Rs are rolling AZ is on the block, and PA and GA.

As an aside, NY Governor will be interesting. Would be the upset of the cycle of Hochul is knocked out.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

I think NV is the most likely of your picks but if Rs are rolling AZ is on the block, and PA and GA.

As an aside, NY Governor will be interesting. Would be the upset of the cycle of Hochul is knocked out.

With the usual caveat that, who the hell knows, I place NH next in line on the list of possibilities after NV- even though it is a recent development and even though Mitch worked hard to stop him.

New York is a disaster for the dems already even if the woman wins. Holchuk or whatever. The dems have had work very hard and spend very much to defens something that they should not have to defend. Biden carried the state by 20 points. Now the dems are on the ropes. Same situation Oregon. Oregon is in the zone of very high possibility of putting republican in as governor. There is an entire generation or two in Oregon who have never seen a dem in a statewide office. Even if she loses, it is another state where dems are having work hard now for what they thought they owned.

 

[Ayn Rand]

Market is signaling that It thinks it will be a Republican sweep.

 

[UsualName]

With the usual caveat that, who the hell knows, I place NH next in line on the list of possibilities after NV- even though it is a recent development and even though Mitch worked hard to stop him.

New York is a disaster for the dems already even if the woman wins. Holchuk or whatever. The dems have had work very hard and spend very much to defens something that they should not have to defend. Biden carried the state by 20 points. Now the dems are on the ropes. Same situation Oregon. Oregon is in the zone of very high possibility of putting republican in as governor. There is an entire generation or two in Oregon who have never seen a dem in a statewide office. Even if she loses, it is another state where dems are having work hard now for what they thought they owned.

If you have NH as a possibility for republicans, why don’t you have NC as a possibility for democrats?

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

If you have NH as a possibility for republicans, why don’t you have NC as a possibility for democrats?

I don't know anything about NC so lay low.

I know NH very well. Doesn't make me right about anything. Just that I have opinions and perceptions around that scenario. Bolduc is behind but he represents traditional New Hampshire so I see where he fits in easily even though allegedly an outsider. Maggie Hansen represents the New Hampshire that has just become a suburb of Boston.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

Market is signaling that It thinks it will be a Republican sweep.

Why, because everyone is shorting the cannabis stocks?

Little joke there.

 

[gwb-trading]

I don't know anything about NC so lay low.

I know NH very well. Doesn't make me right about anything. Just that I have opinions and perceptions around that scenario. Bolduc is behind but he represents traditional New Hampshire so I see where he fits in easily even though allegedly an outsider. Maggie Hansen represents the New Hampshire that has just become a suburb of Boston.

I do know NC very well -- having lived here for three decades.

All the recent polls are showing Ted Budd up by two points on average against Cheri Beasley. This is still within the typical margin of error for polling. But what I am seeing in terms of talk among local people & local journalists at this point -- it appears unlikely that Cheri Beasley will win this Senate race -- it will be a surprise if she does.

The spending by Republican PACs on attack ads has been significant and these relentless ads focused on crime, etc. trying to insinuate that Beasley frees criminals from prison, etc., etc. Beasley has been significantly outspent in media and this will probably cost her the election IMO.

 

[TreeFrogTrader]

I do know NC very well -- having lived here for three decades.

All the recent polls are showing Ted Budd up by two points on average against Cheri Beasley. This is still within the typical margin of error for polling. But what I am seeing in terms of talk among local people & local journalists at this point -- it appears unlikely that Cheri Beasley will win this Senate race -- it will be a surprise if she does.

The spending by Republican PACs on attack ads has been significant and these relentless ads focused on crime, etc. trying to insinuate that Beasley frees criminals from prison, etc., etc. Beasley has been significantly outspent in media and this will probably cost her the election IMO.

Okay. There we have it. Our man on the ground in NC.