Tomorrow is election day. What are your mid-projections on which party will hold the House and the Senate
Poll: Your mid-term projections
- Thread starter gwb-trading
- Start date
GOP will pick up a lot of seats.. I have not done the math if it is enough to change House and Senate but first mid-term of new president and economy slowing down.....slam dunk bet GOP gains seats across the board.
Bill Maher says Biden's far left pandering makes it hard to 'convince' centrist Democrats to vote for him
The HBO host blamed the potential GOP victory on Biden’s appeasement of the far left
https://www.foxnews.com/media/bill-...ing-hard-convince-centrist-democrats-vote-him
Pubs are up for the Senate now.
This is contrary to where I was a month ago.
I still think Hershel Walker is looking shaky and still think that Fetterman might be in a better place even if he does not deserve it, just because there are so many democrats who just want a D in there.
But the pubs will pick up a seat or two from one of the states that I was not even looking at a month ago. ie. AZ, NV, NH, and outside, outside, outside chance in Washington State.
The dems got lucky with the abortion gift from the court but it has lost its staying power. Note that I did not say it is not important, but it just is not the big driver that it was.
Pubs are going to take the House of course.
This is contrary to where I was a month ago.
I still think Hershel Walker is looking shaky and still think that Fetterman might be in a better place even if he does not deserve it, just because there are so many democrats who just want a D in there.
But the pubs will pick up a seat or two from one of the states that I was not even looking at a month ago. ie. AZ, NV, NH, and outside, outside, outside chance in Washington State.
The dems got lucky with the abortion gift from the court but it has lost its staying power. Note that I did not say it is not important, but it just is not the big driver that it was.
Pubs are going to take the House of course.
Yeah...but this is how they make sure they win , and they will insist it was all 'fair and square,'
'They're looking for every advantage': GOP sues to block thousands of ballots in key states
National and state-level Republicans are engaged in a coordinated legal effort to disqualify thousands of absentee and mail-in ballots in key battleground states ahead of Election Day, a mass voter suppression campaign that—if successful—could swing the results of close races.
In states such as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, right-wing organizations and Republican groups animated by former President Donald Trump's "Big Lie" have filed lawsuits seeking to toss ballots on technical grounds, potentially disenfranchising thousands of voters for failing to put a date on the outer envelope of a ballot or other small mistakes.
"They've calculated that this is a way that they can win more seats."
Additionally, Republicans in Pennsylvania sued in an unsuccessful attempt to block counties from notifying voters about technical errors on their ballots.
In Georgia, home to a razor-close U.S. Senate race that could decide control of the upper chamber, right-wingers have challenged the eligibility of tens of thousands of individual voters, making use of a GOP-crafted law allowing state residents to file an unlimited number of challenges.
Republican groups in several states—including Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada—have also filed lawsuits aimed at requiring the appointment of more Republican poll workers.
Democrats lead in early voting turnout:
- Turnout up 8-10% from 2018.
- Democrats lead 50% to 39%, have 4.3m vote "firewall" (lead).
Be patient: This election is probably going to go on a while
NPR - https://tinyurl.com/2p8v4yah
Election Day is Tuesday, but with early voting, the more accepted use of mail voting and the prospect of razor-thin races, it's really Election Season.
And Tuesday only marks the beginning of the next phase in that season.
Gird for many of these elections to go on for days, if not weeks. This is all perfectly normal when there are close elections. It doesn't mean that there is fraud — despite the lies about his 2020 loss that former President Donald Trump has pushed and so many candidates he's backed have promulgated.
Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to take back the House. They're in the driver's seat and widely expected to reach that and then some. But the full extent of a GOP wave, if there is one, or whether Democrats pull off the surprise and hold the House, won't be known for a while.
Many of these races are expected to be close and will take a while to count all the vote. There are lots of competitive seats in California, for example. California polls don't close until 11 p.m. ET, so don't expect many of those to be known on election night. In past years, that's been the case, and it's taken a long time to know results — days and weeks.
For the Senate, all eyes are going to be on four states — Pennsylvania and Georgia in the East and Arizona and Nevada in the West. In Georgia, there's a libertarian on the ballot, who very likely will serve as a place for protest vote — meaning neither the Democrat nor Republican in the race might surpass the 50% threshold required to win the election outright.
If that happens, the election would go to a Dec. 6 runoff, which means control of the Senate quite possibly won't be known for a month after Election Day.
(More at above url)
NPR - https://tinyurl.com/2p8v4yah
Election Day is Tuesday, but with early voting, the more accepted use of mail voting and the prospect of razor-thin races, it's really Election Season.
And Tuesday only marks the beginning of the next phase in that season.
Gird for many of these elections to go on for days, if not weeks. This is all perfectly normal when there are close elections. It doesn't mean that there is fraud — despite the lies about his 2020 loss that former President Donald Trump has pushed and so many candidates he's backed have promulgated.
Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to take back the House. They're in the driver's seat and widely expected to reach that and then some. But the full extent of a GOP wave, if there is one, or whether Democrats pull off the surprise and hold the House, won't be known for a while.
Many of these races are expected to be close and will take a while to count all the vote. There are lots of competitive seats in California, for example. California polls don't close until 11 p.m. ET, so don't expect many of those to be known on election night. In past years, that's been the case, and it's taken a long time to know results — days and weeks.
For the Senate, all eyes are going to be on four states — Pennsylvania and Georgia in the East and Arizona and Nevada in the West. In Georgia, there's a libertarian on the ballot, who very likely will serve as a place for protest vote — meaning neither the Democrat nor Republican in the race might surpass the 50% threshold required to win the election outright.
If that happens, the election would go to a Dec. 6 runoff, which means control of the Senate quite possibly won't be known for a month after Election Day.
(More at above url)