Trump impeached? You can bet on it
The prospect that the president won't make it through his term is big business for bookmakers.
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/trump-impeachment-bets-234931
There’s already talk of impeachment, just three weeks into Donald Trump’s turbulent presidency. In fact, many are already betting on it.
Gambling houses all over the world are taking in action on whether Trump, inaugurated just last month, will resign or be impeached. And the odds aren’t as long as you might think...
Did you read about Trump's trademark in China.
Trump takes a call with the Taiwanese PM.
China gets upset
Trump re-iterates the US's One China policy
Trump Organization gets a trademark approved a few days later.
A coincidence? Perhaps. Or Perhaps not. We will never know.
What about the Japanese meeting with Ivanka and Trump in his early days. Was that meeting about politics, business, or both? We don't know.
Yesterday China agrees to UN sanctions banning coal imports from N.Korea - roughly 35-40% of their total exports.
Today N.Korea agrees to meet with US.
Coincidence? I don't think so.
Right. And since Trump refuses to commit to personal transparency, he's in the clear by your reckoning.I guess we don't know, like you said. If you have proof, I'll gladly denounce it as a conflict of interest.
As I wrote earlier in this thread, I think there is a more that 50% chance of it occurring within the next 4 years. Impeachment or implosion, that is. I didn't say it was very likely. Just more likely than not. Therefore, not quite enough asymmetry for me to bet on.You don't honestly think this is going to happen, do you? I mean, do you plan on taking a bet out and putting your money where your mouth is on this?
Personally, I think it's a bad bet.
As I wrote earlier in this thread, I think there is a more that 50% chance of it occurring within the next 4 years. Impeachment or implosion, that is. I didn't say it was very likely. Just more likely than not. Therefore, not quite enough asymmetry for me to bet on.
And so can you to the contrary...Thank you for clarifying. Even if you believe it's more likely than not, you might want to consider putting a bet on if the odds are in your favor.
And so can you to the contrary...