Poll: Will Trump implode or be impeached within the next 4 years?

Will Trump implode or be impeached within the next 4 years?

  • Very likely

  • More than 50% chance

  • Less than 50% chance

  • Very unlikely


Results are only viewable after voting.
Yesterday China agrees to UN sanctions banning coal imports from N.Korea - roughly 35-40% of their total exports.

Today N.Korea agrees to meet with US.

Coincidence? I don't think so.
 
Trump impeached? You can bet on it

The prospect that the president won't make it through his term is big business for bookmakers.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/02/trump-impeachment-bets-234931

There’s already talk of impeachment, just three weeks into Donald Trump’s turbulent presidency. In fact, many are already betting on it.

Gambling houses all over the world are taking in action on whether Trump, inaugurated just last month, will resign or be impeached. And the odds aren’t as long as you might think...

You don't honestly think this is going to happen, do you? I mean, do you plan on taking a bet out and putting your money where your mouth is on this?

Personally, I think it's a bad bet.
 
Did you read about Trump's trademark in China.
Trump takes a call with the Taiwanese PM.
China gets upset
Trump re-iterates the US's One China policy
Trump Organization gets a trademark approved a few days later.

A coincidence? Perhaps. Or Perhaps not. We will never know.

What about the Japanese meeting with Ivanka and Trump in his early days. Was that meeting about politics, business, or both? We don't know.

I guess we don't know, like you said. If you have proof, I'll gladly denounce it as a conflict of interest.
 
Yesterday China agrees to UN sanctions banning coal imports from N.Korea - roughly 35-40% of their total exports.

Today N.Korea agrees to meet with US.

Coincidence? I don't think so.

Interesting, I'd say. If we're going to speculate, that certainly looks like Trump made a deal with China. The Taiwan chatter early on was probably more posturing Trump knew was necessary to get China to come to the table.
 
You don't honestly think this is going to happen, do you? I mean, do you plan on taking a bet out and putting your money where your mouth is on this?

Personally, I think it's a bad bet.
As I wrote earlier in this thread, I think there is a more that 50% chance of it occurring within the next 4 years. Impeachment or implosion, that is. I didn't say it was very likely. Just more likely than not. Therefore, not quite enough asymmetry for me to bet on.
 
As I wrote earlier in this thread, I think there is a more that 50% chance of it occurring within the next 4 years. Impeachment or implosion, that is. I didn't say it was very likely. Just more likely than not. Therefore, not quite enough asymmetry for me to bet on.

Thank you for clarifying. Even if you believe it's more likely than not, you might want to consider putting a bet on if the odds are in your favor.
 
While stitching a cut on the hand of a 75 year old farmer, the doctor struck up a conversation with the old man. Eventually the topic got around to Donald Trump and his role as the new President of the United States.

The old farmer said, “Well as I see it, Donald Trump is like a ‘Post Tortoise’.


Not being familiar with the term, the Doctor asked him what a ‘post tortoise’ was.

The old farmer said, “When you are driving down a country road and you come across a fence post with a tortoise balanced on top, that’s a ‘post tortoise’.

The old farmer saw the puzzled look on the Doctor’s face and continued to explain:


“You know he didn’t get up there by himself, he doesn’t belong up there, he doesn’t know what to do while he’s up there, he’s been elevated beyond his ability to function, and you just wonder what kind of dumb ass put him up there to begin with.”

Trump Post Tortoise.jpg
 
Back
Top