Quote from HATEtheRisk:
But why dont you use just the Nasdaq100 price and OBV and Advance Decline data, how you do it with the stocks ???
For what do you need the stocks for ??? when you thing nasdqa100 predicts the dow price moves. ???
Nasdaq100 price is added to the list of stocks.
The main reason I use stocks is because I feel that if I can use an indicator on one stock to assess price behaviour of another stock (YM) then with a bit of programming I use the price behaviour of 100 or 1000 stocks to assess the behaviour of YM.
Let me give you an example, many traders use RSI to determine overbought/oversold levels on their charts for a single stock, or some traders use correlation analysis between a single stock and an index to determine likely direction of the index.
My thoughts are if I can use the same analysis with a little bit of programming for 1000 stocks to assess the direction of index/future then I would have more confidence in placing trade with, say YM.
If I was willing to pay for 500 symbols from Esignal I would program excel to assess the RSI or ADX of each individual stock of S&P 500 to trade ES emini. So if say 455 out of 500 stocks were identified as overbought according to RSI I would use that information to trade emini.
Listening to the comments and suggestions of the other traders I think the way to go is to use the stocks of the DOW. However, I do have another question for you and rest of traders willing to respond.
What do you think of the idea of entering trades with ES or YM based on how long it has remained stagnant? For example, if your trading ES and you notice that the price hasn't moved for 4 seconds what does that tell you and how would you trade that scenario? It has been suggested that I look at Tape Reading or Time and Sales. What do you think?
Cheers