Pabst's Blue Ribbon Trades

Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:

Weirdly almost. My car was totaled in an accident yesterday and I'm pretty much out of commission for a few days. This is my first and last attempt at typing for a while.
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Pabst, sorry to hear about this. Hope you recover and get well soon!
 
Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:

Weirdly almost. My car was totaled in an accident yesterday and I'm pretty much out of commission for a few days. This is my first and last attempt at typing for a while.
More...

Pabst sorry to hear about the accident man. Hope you have a speedy recovery.
 
Pabst, if you thought my fade of smarty jones was a great call, wait till big brown loses in the Belmont to Casino Drive. You heard it here first. Big Brown, at probable odds of 1-5, will lose.
 
First off thanks to everyone who wished me well.

I'd been in a few fender benders over the years but this accident was pretty intense. Fortunately my injuries were more nuisance than life threatening. Only in SoFla can you be totaled by a drunk uninsured illegal on a Sunday afternoon.

I agree with Romeo. Big Brown isn't a strong threat at a mile and a half. Casino Drive should be the horse to beat but he too has injury problems. I'll look at a few exactas with Casino Drive on top and I'll certainly throw Brown in the mix as well. After all I've been on Big Brown since the Florida Derby. IMO he's the greatest since Secretariat but Belmont can make the greats look awfully humble. Just like these markets.....
 
Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:

First off thanks to everyone who wished me well.

I'd been in a few fender benders over the years but this accident was pretty intense. Fortunately my injuries were more nuisance than life threatening. Only in SoFla can you be totaled by a drunk uninsured illegal on a Sunday afternoon.

I agree with Romeo. Big Brown isn't a strong threat at a mile and a half. Casino Drive should be the horse to beat but he too has injury problems. I'll look at a few exactas with Casino Drive on top and I'll certainly throw Brown in the mix as well. After all I've been on Big Brown since the Florida Derby. IMO he's the greatest since Secretariat but Belmont can make the greats look awfully humble. Just like these markets.....
More...

glad to har you came out safe

isnt a horse alive thats worth 1-to-5.
 
Quote from Pa(b)st Prime:

Big Brown isn't a strong threat at a mile and a half. Casino Drive should be the horse to beat but he too has injury problems. I'll look at a few exactas with Casino Drive on top and I'll certainly throw Brown in the mix as well. After all I've been on Big Brown since the Florida Derby. IMO he's the greatest since Secretariat but Belmont can make the greats look awfully humble. Just like these markets.....
More...
Man o man, Pabst and I have been thinking alike since 2003. I couldn't agree more with this excellent analysis. Last year, I thought Curlin was a super horse from the Arkansas Derby, but that didn't stop me from playing pedigree in the 1 1/2 mile Belmont. This year is no different. Yes, i was crushed today to hear that Casino Drive has a hoof problem. But if they run him, I gotta believe they know their horse. If this horse is 100%, he can sit right with Big Brown, behind Da Tara for 3/4 of a mile, and then it turns into a 2 horse race. I don't see 1 1/2 mile pedigree in Big Brown, but I certainly see it in Casino Drive. Plus, the 90+ degree temps are going to make it even more unpredictable.

Casino Drive over Big Brown.
 
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