Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2007

Art's futures biases for Feb 13.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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The bonds are all signaling buys, albeit from different signal classes. The currencies are all urging sells. It's probably best to avoid the indexes, although if I had to choose, I'd probably go with the unanimous buy readings in the Russell. One usually regrets pushing the bear side too many days in a row in the Great American Stock Market.
 

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Hi Art,

Does your model reference the currency pair or the currency on it's own? E.G: If your model sums negative for the CHF does that mean that A)) the USD/CHF is negative or that B) the CHF is negative on its own (which would make the pair +)?

Regards

ETU
 
ETUserisme wrote
Hi Art,

Does your model reference the currency pair or the currency on it's own? E.G: If your model sums negative for the CHF does that mean that A)) the USD/CHF is negative or that B) the CHF is negative on its own (which would make the pair +)?

Regards

ETU
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it references the currency on its own.
 
Art's futures biases for Feb 14.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
 

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Naz is obviously the weak index here....albeit the RUT did not show as strongly as it should have today.
My take: any thoughts of interest rate hikes are going to hit the small caps the most.
 
sys wizare wrote
Naz is obviously the weak index here....albeit the RUT did not show as strongly as it should have today.
My take: any thoughts of interest rate hikes are going to hit the small caps the most.
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no quite honestly, no thoughts on that. it's one of those fundamentally-oriented drivers that i really haven't considered. your take seems reasonable.
 
Art's futures biases for Feb 15.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.


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According to the CzarCharts, the indexes should pull an abrupt reversal of the current uptrend. All three markets are flashing sell signals in all major categories. The currencies are also a good short-selling bet for Thursday, particularly the yen.
 

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Sell signals ? Omigosh, did you see the Russell 2000 today... it was MOMBO weak. I'm going to rename it the Russell Weak 2000. "Look out below". Despite Uncle Ben's dovish commentary, the small caps know "it's coming" (higher interest rates).
 
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