Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2007

Art's futures biases for Nov 7.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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The day-of-month indicator has just flipped from bullish-to-bearish, nudging the overall index calendar indicators to the sell side. This dovetails with a majority of the either-or indicators. The verdict is that we've done an about-face and should see stock market selling pressure on Wednesday.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 8.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 9.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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Expect renewed upside action in the indices for Friday.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 12.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 13.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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All major Czar sectors are urging index longs for Tuesday.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 14.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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Both major signal categories are urging sells across the bond complex for Wednesday.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 15.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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Was Tuesday's stellar rally for real or mere whistling past the graveyard? Certainly, there are a number of fundamental bearish scenarios one could advance. That's not really my area of expertise, but I must say, I like the way the CzarCharts are lining up in favor of the "another shoe is going to drop" argument. In the face of--among other things-- near-$100 crude, a collapsing dollar, and a sub-prime crisis, it just feels better to be bearish.
But again, feelings have no place in the mechanical universe. I will be shorting the indexes on Thursday because the CzarCharts are now firmly in the sell camp.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 16.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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The best bet for Friday is the upside of the currency complex.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 16.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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According to the CzarCharts, Monday should see renewed upside action in the indices. The best buy opportunity should prove to be the S&Ps.
 

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Art's futures biases for Nov 20.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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In accordance with the less-frequent and calendar biases, the recent oversold condition and the stock market tendency to rally around holidays, I will be buying the S&P and Russell on Tuesday with a fair amount of confidence.
 

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